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Sha Tin · 2024-03-24 · 15:11

Race 5

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.08.19
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 KA YING RISING 1.08.19 Z Purton · D A Hayes 11 2.6 1-1/2
2 0 CALL ME GLORIOUS L Hewitson · K W Lui 9 2.2 1-1/2
3 0 SOLID IMPACT CP A Badel · D J Hall 2 10.0 2-1/2
4 0 PARTERRE B K De Melo · W Y So 7 78.0 4-1/2
5 0 TORONADO PHANTOM TT R Moore · J Size 5 14.0 4-3/4
6 0 MY FLYING ANGEL A Atzeni · F C Lor 8 29.0 7-1/2
7 0 GOKO WIN B- H Bowman · C H Yip 6 12.0 7-3/4
8 0 PRAWNS ELEVEN XB/TT H Bentley · M Newnham 1 14.0 7-3/4
9 0 ROBOT MASTER CP-/XB-/SR1/TT B Thompson · P C Ng 4 276.0 10-1/4
10 0 ACE ONE V/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte 10 177.0 13
11 0 CAMPIONE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 3 59.0 17-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-24 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KA YING RISING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/2, with CALL ME GLORIOUS second and SOLID IMPACT third. The 2.2 favourite CALL ME GLORIOUS finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KA YING RISING—2. CALL ME GLORIOUS+1.5L3. SOLID IMPACT+2.5L4. PARTERRE+4.5L5. TORONADO PHANTOM+4.75L6. MY FLYING ANGEL+7.5L7. GOKO WIN+7.75L8. PRAWNS ELEVEN+7.75L9. ROBOT MASTER+10.25L10. ACE ONE+13L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick KA YING RISING (43.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 KA YING RISING 43.9% 2.28 1
2 0 CALL ME GLORIOUS 25.4% 3.94 2
3 0 SOLID IMPACT 6.1% 16.31 3
4 0 TORONADO PHANTOM 5.6% 17.94 5
5 0 GOKO WIN 5.5% 18.20 7
6 0 MY FLYING ANGEL 4.7% 21.24 6
7 0 PRAWNS ELEVEN 4.1% 24.45 8
8 0 PARTERRE 2.7% 37.03 4
9 0 CAMPIONE 1.1% 90.87 11
10 0 ACE ONE 0.7% 153.19 10
11 0 ROBOT MASTER 0.3% 368.15 9
KA YING RISING — wonCALL ME GLORIOUSSOLID IMPACTTORONADO PHANTOMGOKO WINMY FLYING ANGELPRAWNS ELEVENPARTERRECAMPIONEACE ONEROBOT MASTER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.