Sha Tin · 2024-03-24 · 07:12
Race 5
Class 3
GOOD TO FIRM
1200m
Course A
11 runners
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-24 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KA YING RISING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/2, with CALL ME GLORIOUS second and SOLID IMPACT third. The 2.2 favourite CALL ME GLORIOUS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KA YING RISING 1.08.19 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 2.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | CALL ME GLORIOUS L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 2.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | SOLID IMPACT CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | PARTERRE B K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 7 | 78.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 5 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | MY FLYING ANGEL A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 8 | 29.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | GOKO WIN B- H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 6 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | PRAWNS ELEVEN XB/TT H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 1 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | ROBOT MASTER CP-/XB-/SR1/TT B Thompson · P C Ng | B Thompson | P C Ng | 4 | 276.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | ACE ONE V/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 10 | 177.0 | 13 |
| 11 | 3 | CAMPIONE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 3 | 59.0 | 17-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick KA YING RISING (43.9%) won this race.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KA YING RISING | 43.9% | 2.28 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | CALL ME GLORIOUS | 25.4% | 3.94 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | SOLID IMPACT | 6.1% | 16.31 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 5.6% | 17.94 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | GOKO WIN | 5.5% | 18.20 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 4.7% | 21.24 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | PRAWNS ELEVEN | 4.1% | 24.45 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | PARTERRE | 2.7% | 37.03 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | CAMPIONE | 1.1% | 90.87 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | ACE ONE | 0.7% | 153.19 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | ROBOT MASTER | 0.3% | 368.15 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
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Race 6 →
This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1200m
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