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Sha Tin · 2024-06-02 · 16:01

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 2000m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 2.01.28
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 HAPPY HERO Closed strongly B 2.01.28 L Hewitson · M Newnham 1 4.0 2
2 9 ARTHUR'S KINGDOM Led early A Badel · Y S Tsui 2 3.5 2
3 6 GO GO GO P/TT A Atzeni · W Y So 5 5.9 3
4 1 KINGLY DEMEANOR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 11 12.0 3-1/2
5 3 SUNNY BABY Closed strongly CP2 K De Melo · D A Hayes 3 41.0 4-1/2
6 12 DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly M F Poon · J Size 10 19.0 5-3/4
7 10 JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT H T Mo · C W Chang 4 8.9 5-3/4
8 4 YEE CHEONG WARRIOR CP/XB K Teetan · D J Hall 6 15.0 8
9 11 FASTPASS B M Chadwick · C H Yip 9 33.0 10
10 5 CLASSIC ARCHI B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 8 23.0 10-1/4
11 2 TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · T P Yung 12 15.0 10-1/4
12 8 SUPERB DADDY TT- B Thompson · Y S Tsui 7 30.0 12-1/4
— 13 GREEN LASER M L Yeung · W Y So — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-02 was Class 5 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY HERO, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by M Newnham, won by 2, with ARTHUR'S KINGDOM second and GO GO GO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite ARTHUR'S KINGDOM finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAPPY HERO—2. ARTHUR'S KINGDOM+2L3. GO GO GO+3L4. KINGLY DEMEANOR+3.5L5. SUNNY BABY+4.5L6. DIAMOND WINNER+5.75L7. JOYFUL CHAMPION+5.75L8. YEE CHEONG WARRIOR+8L9. FASTPASS+10L10. CLASSIC ARCHI+10.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick ARTHUR'S KINGDOM (20.7%) finished 2nd — the winner HAPPY HERO was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 ARTHUR'S KINGDOM 20.7% 4.83 2
2 7 HAPPY HERO 16.7% 6.00 1
3 6 GO GO GO 16.5% 6.06 3
4 10 JOYFUL CHAMPION 8.8% 11.42 7
5 5 CLASSIC ARCHI 7.3% 13.69 10
6 2 TURTLE AGAIN 7.2% 13.81 11
7 4 YEE CHEONG WARRIOR 6.1% 16.41 8
8 1 KINGLY DEMEANOR 4.3% 23.11 4
9 12 DIAMOND WINNER 4.3% 23.45 6
10 3 SUNNY BABY 3.2% 31.07 5
11 11 FASTPASS 3.0% 32.90 9
12 8 SUPERB DADDY 1.9% 53.48 12
ARTHUR'S KINGDOMHAPPY HERO — wonGO GO GOJOYFUL CHAMPIONCLASSIC ARCHITURTLE AGAINYEE CHEONG WARRIORKINGLY DEMEANORDIAMOND WINNERSUNNY BABYFASTPASSSUPERB DADDY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.