Sha Tin · 2024-06-02 · 08:02
Race 1
Class 5
GOOD
2000m
Course B
12 runners
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-02 was Class 5 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY HERO, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by M Newnham, won by 2, with ARTHUR'S KINGDOM second and GO GO GO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite ARTHUR'S KINGDOM finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HAPPY HERO Closed strongly B 2.01.28 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 1 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM Led early A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 2 | 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | GO GO GO P/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 5 | 5.9 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | KINGLY DEMEANOR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly CP2 K De Melo · D A Hayes | K De Melo | D A Hayes | 3 | 41.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 10 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 4 | 8.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR CP/XB K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 6 | 15.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | FASTPASS B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 9 | 33.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | CLASSIC ARCHI B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 23.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 12 | 15.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SUPERB DADDY TT- B Thompson · Y S Tsui | B Thompson | Y S Tsui | 7 | 30.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 13 | GREEN LASER M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick ARTHUR'S KINGDOM (20.7%) finished 2nd — the winner HAPPY HERO was rated #2.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 20.7% | 4.83 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | HAPPY HERO | 16.7% | 6.00 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | GO GO GO | 16.5% | 6.06 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 8.8% | 11.42 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 7.3% | 13.69 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | TURTLE AGAIN | 7.2% | 13.81 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 6.1% | 16.41 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 4.3% | 23.11 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | DIAMOND WINNER | 4.3% | 23.45 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | SUNNY BABY | 3.2% | 31.07 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | FASTPASS | 3.0% | 32.90 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | SUPERB DADDY | 1.9% | 53.48 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.