Sha Tin · 2024-06-02 · 12:14
Race 9
Group 3
GOOD TO FIRM
1200m
Course B
8 runners
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-02 was Group 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KA YING RISING, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/4, with FLYING ACE second and HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | KA YING RISING 1.08.00 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 1.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | FLYING ACE B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 3 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 1 | 8.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | MUGEN H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 4 | 7.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | STOLTZ CP C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 36.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | VICTOR THE WINNER TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 8 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | SIGHT SUCCESS PC-/E/B1 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 45.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | INVINCIBLE SAGE CP H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 2 | 5.1 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 8 | SON PAK FU M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick KA YING RISING (34.5%) won this race.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | KA YING RISING | 34.5% | 2.90 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | STOLTZ | 14.8% | 6.77 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 13.7% | 7.31 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 13.5% | 7.41 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | MUGEN | 10.4% | 9.62 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | FLYING ACE | 7.8% | 12.83 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 4.0% | 25.20 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 1.3% | 74.33 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
← Race 8
Race 10 →
This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1200m
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