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Sha Tin · 2024-06-02 · 20:47

Race 10

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.14
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 HANDSOME BOMB Closed strongly TT 1.22.14 A Atzeni · W Y So 8 14.0 1-1/4
2 4 GRAND BOSS Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 7 33.0 1-1/4
3 12 RUBY SAILING TT M Chadwick · K L Man 1 11.0 1-3/4
4 3 TOP SCORER Led early H Bowman · J Size 6 2.4 1-3/4
5 14 HOSS B/XB/TT B Thompson · P C Ng 5 41.0 2-1/4
6 1 MY FLYING ANGEL V-/CP2 A Badel · F C Lor 12 7.0 2-1/4
7 2 LET'S DO IT Closed strongly CP H Bentley · D J Hall 9 16.0 3
8 7 SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly XB K Teetan · K H Ting 4 7.6 3
9 6 HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · C H Yip 14 21.0 4
10 11 EXCELLENT DADDY Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · T P Yung 10 109.0 4-1/4
11 13 VULCANUS Closed strongly B Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 11 77.0 5-1/4
12 8 SMART FIGHTER TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 2 6.4 7-1/4
13 9 C P ONE Closed strongly B/TT K De Melo · J Richards 13 145.0 9
14 10 NOT A FEW CP/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte 3 93.0 9-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-02 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HANDSOME BOMB, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/4, with GRAND BOSS second and RUBY SAILING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite TOP SCORER finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HANDSOME BOMB—2. GRAND BOSS+1.25L3. RUBY SAILING+1.75L4. TOP SCORER+1.75L5. HOSS+2.25L6. MY FLYING ANGEL+2.25L7. LET'S DO IT+3L8. SMILING COLLECTOR+3L9. HAPPY DAILY+4L10. EXCELLENT DADDY+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick TOP SCORER (24.6%) finished 4th — the winner HANDSOME BOMB was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 TOP SCORER 24.6% 4.06 4
2 8 SMART FIGHTER 23.1% 4.34 12
3 12 RUBY SAILING 10.7% 9.38 3
4 7 SMILING COLLECTOR 9.7% 10.33 8
5 1 MY FLYING ANGEL 5.7% 17.62 6
6 2 LET'S DO IT 5.5% 18.17 7
7 6 HAPPY DAILY 5.0% 20.04 9
8 5 HANDSOME BOMB 4.2% 23.83 1
9 14 HOSS 3.2% 30.78 5
10 11 EXCELLENT DADDY 2.9% 34.16 10
11 13 VULCANUS 2.8% 35.67 11
12 10 NOT A FEW 1.0% 98.82 14
13 9 C P ONE 0.9% 105.27 13
14 4 GRAND BOSS 0.7% 145.69 2
TOP SCORERSMART FIGHTERRUBY SAILINGSMILING COLLECTORMY FLYING ANGELLET'S DO ITHAPPY DAILYHANDSOME BOMB — wonHOSSEXCELLENT DADDYVULCANUSNOT A FEWC P ONEGRAND BOSS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.