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Sha Tin · 2024-06-02 · 16:31

Race 2

Class 2 GOOD 1400m Course B 6 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.36
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 KEEFY Closed strongly 1.22.36 K Teetan · F C Lor 6 8.0 N
2 5 SUPERB BOY Led early TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 6.8 N
3 2 WONDER KIT Closed strongly B L Hewitson · K W Lui 2 2.3 1
4 3 SUPREME LUCKY TT M F Poon · C S Shum 1 2.6 1-1/4
5 4 SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu 5 13.0 4-1/4
6 1 MR ASCENDENCY TT H Bentley · P F Yiu 3 18.0 5

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-02 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. KEEFY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with SUPERB BOY second and WONDER KIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite WONDER KIT finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KEEFY—2. SUPERB BOY+0.05L3. WONDER KIT+1L4. SUPREME LUCKY+1.25L5. SPIRITED EXPRESS+4.25L6. MR ASCENDENCY+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick SUPREME LUCKY (34.6%) finished 4th — the winner KEEFY was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 SUPREME LUCKY 34.6% 2.89 4
2 2 WONDER KIT 24.2% 4.14 3
3 5 SUPERB BOY 18.4% 5.43 2
4 6 KEEFY 9.0% 11.06 1
5 1 MR ASCENDENCY 8.8% 11.37 6
6 4 SPIRITED EXPRESS 5.0% 20.00 5
SUPREME LUCKYWONDER KITSUPERB BOYKEEFY — wonMR ASCENDENCYSPIRITED EXPRESS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.