Sha Tin · 2024-06-02 · 08:32

Race 2

Class 2 GOOD 1400m Course B 6 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-02 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. KEEFY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with SUPERB BOY second and WONDER KIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite WONDER KIT finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.22.36

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	6	KEEFY Closed strongly 1.22.36 K Teetan · F C Lor	K Teetan	F C Lor	6	119 lb	8.0	N
2	5	SUPERB BOY Led early TT C Y Ho · K W Lui	C Y Ho	K W Lui	4	122 lb	6.8	N
3	2	WONDER KIT Closed strongly B L Hewitson · K W Lui	L Hewitson	K W Lui	2	127 lb	2.3	1
4	3	SUPREME LUCKY TT M F Poon · C S Shum	M F Poon	C S Shum	1	124 lb	2.6	1-1/4
5	4	SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu	B Avdulla	P F Yiu	5	123 lb	13.0	4-1/4
6	1	MR ASCENDENCY TT H Bentley · P F Yiu	H Bentley	P F Yiu	3	135 lb	18.0	5

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24

The model's top pick SUPREME LUCKY (34.6%) finished 4th — the winner KEEFY was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	3	SUPREME LUCKY	34.6%	2.89	4	2.6
2	2	WONDER KIT	24.2%	4.14	3	2.3
3	5	SUPERB BOY	18.4%	5.43	2	6.8
4	6	KEEFY	9.0%	11.06	1	8.0
5	1	MR ASCENDENCY	8.8%	11.37	6	18.0
6	4	SPIRITED EXPRESS	5.0%	20.00	5	13.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends recorded for this race.

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