Sha Tin · 2024-06-02 · 11:07
Race 7
Class 4
GOOD TO FIRM
1200m
Course B
14 runners
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-02 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LUCY IN THE SKY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1-3/4, with STEPS AHEAD second and PRINCE OF PORTY third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LUCY IN THE SKY H 1.08.78 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 2.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | STEPS AHEAD C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | PRINCE OF PORTY CP/TT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 10 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | HAYDAY H/XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 8.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 9 | 8.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | COMING PATCH A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 8 | 57.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GREENWICH PC-/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 2 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | ACE ONE B/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 4 | 78.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | CLEAR COURAGE TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 3 | 60.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | MULTIDARLING TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 13 | 160.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | MIRACLES B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 11 | 84.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | MASSIVE TALENT CP-/PC1/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 53.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | TRIPLE BLISS K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 155.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | BULB PRINCE H/TT2 Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 7 | 139.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick STEPS AHEAD (24.9%) finished 2nd — the winner LUCY IN THE SKY was rated #2.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | STEPS AHEAD | 24.9% | 4.01 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 19.3% | 5.17 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 14.3% | 6.98 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | HAYDAY | 9.5% | 10.49 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 6.4% | 15.72 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | MIRACLES | 4.7% | 21.23 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | GREENWICH | 4.0% | 24.91 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | TRIPLE BLISS | 3.6% | 27.61 | 13 |
| 9 | 2 | COMING PATCH | 3.2% | 31.20 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | CLEAR COURAGE | 2.4% | 41.02 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | MULTIDARLING | 2.4% | 41.81 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | ACE ONE | 1.9% | 51.77 | 8 |
| 13 | 10 | MASSIVE TALENT | 1.8% | 56.54 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | BULB PRINCE | 1.4% | 71.22 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
← Race 6
Race 8 →
This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1200m
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