Sha Tin · 2024-06-02 · 10:33
Race 6
Class 3
GOOD
1200m
Course B
11 runners
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-02 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. YOUNG SUPERSTAR, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/2, with PRAWNS ELEVEN second and STELLAR EXPRESS third. The 2.4 favourite STELLAR EXPRESS finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR TT1 1.08.57 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | PRAWNS ELEVEN XB/TT H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | STELLAR EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 2.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | HASTEN DELIGHT B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 6.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | THRIVING BROTHERS L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | JAMES TAK CP1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 3.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | GREAT STATE TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 10 | 104.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | ASTROLOGER B1 K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 11 | 74.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | KING GLORIOSO A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 8 | 115.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | BULB EMPEROR B A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 9 | 136.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | ACE VICTORY TT B Thompson · Y S Tsui | B Thompson | Y S Tsui | 4 | 29.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick JAMES TAK (38.7%) finished 6th — the winner YOUNG SUPERSTAR was rated #6.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | JAMES TAK | 38.7% | 2.59 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 18.3% | 5.45 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | HASTEN DELIGHT | 15.2% | 6.59 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | PRAWNS ELEVEN | 7.7% | 13.04 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | ACE VICTORY | 4.5% | 22.05 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR | 4.3% | 23.43 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 2.9% | 34.43 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | ASTROLOGER | 2.8% | 35.96 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | KING GLORIOSO | 2.5% | 39.69 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | GREAT STATE | 2.1% | 47.95 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | BULB EMPEROR | 1.1% | 92.95 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
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Race 7 →
This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1200m
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