Sha Tin · 2024-06-02 · 09:33
Race 4
Class 4
GOOD
1200m
Course B
14 runners
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-02 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SUPER BONUS, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won by SH, with AWESOME TREASURE second and SILVER DESTINY third. The 2.4 favourite AWESOME TREASURE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SUPER BONUS B/TT 1.09.31 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 5.7 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | AWESOME TREASURE TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 2.4 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | SILVER DESTINY B1 Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 2 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | JOLLY COMPANION CP/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 36.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | CHAMPION METHOD B-/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 13 | 7.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | GRAND NOVA E H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 9 | 108.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | CAMP FIRE H1/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 45.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | MISTER FOX L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 10 | 106.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | SMART LEADER PC/XB/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 12 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | VERBIER B1 A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 14 | 124.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 14 | URBAN TRIUMPH CP/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST H-/XB/TT B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 6 | 80.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick AWESOME TREASURE (16.2%) finished 2nd — the winner SUPER BONUS was rated #5.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AWESOME TREASURE | 16.2% | 6.18 | 2 |
| 2 | 14 | URBAN TRIUMPH | 11.2% | 8.89 | 13 |
| 3 | 4 | CAMP FIRE | 11.2% | 8.94 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 10.9% | 9.15 | 7 |
| 5 | 13 | SUPER BONUS | 10.6% | 9.41 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | SILVER DESTINY | 8.0% | 12.55 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | GRAND NOVA | 7.5% | 13.40 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | CHAMPION METHOD | 5.7% | 17.42 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | SMART LEADER | 5.3% | 18.98 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | JOLLY COMPANION | 5.2% | 19.33 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | VERBIER | 3.0% | 33.25 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 2.7% | 36.41 | 8 |
| 13 | 11 | MISTER FOX | 1.7% | 59.73 | 10 |
| 14 | 3 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST | 0.8% | 127.66 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
← Race 3
Race 5 →
This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1200m
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