Sha Tin · 2024-09-28
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS Closed strongly B 1.22.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 12 | 3.7 | N |
| 2 | 5 | LESLIE Closed strongly B2 K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 5 | 20.0 | N |
| 3 | 8 | NOT USUAL STAR Closed strongly H/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 1 | 17.0 | N |
| 4 | 4 | SILO CP1 B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 7 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | PRINCE OF PORTY B/TT H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 2 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | THRIVING BROTHERS Led early XB1 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 8 | 8.5 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | KING MILES Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 3.2 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | ENDEARED XB A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | ORIENTAL SMOKE Closed strongly B/TT2 B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 10 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPER GOLDI TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 4 | 8.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | MIGHTY COMMANDER H/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 6 | 29.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | PHANTOM CYCLONE V/TT Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 9 | 110.0 | 4-1/4 |
| — | 1 | GREEN N WHITE H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-28 was Class 3 over 1400m. PRESTIGE ALWAYS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with LESLIE second and NOT USUAL STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite KING MILES finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KING MILES | 30.7% | 3.26 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS | 16.7% | 5.99 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | NOT USUAL STAR | 10.4% | 9.66 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER GOLDI | 9.1% | 10.94 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 9.1% | 10.97 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 5.7% | 17.55 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | SILO | 4.5% | 22.33 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | ENDEARED | 4.2% | 23.77 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 3.4% | 29.46 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | LESLIE | 2.9% | 34.70 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 2.5% | 39.58 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 0.8% | 123.33 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 37.5
PLACE
3 17
5 44.5
8 41.5
QUINELLA
3,5 485.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 155.5
3,8 121.5
5,8 330.5
FORECAST
3,5 757
TIERCE
3,5,8 8,475
TRIO
3,5,8 2,152
FIRST 4
3,4,5,8 6,462
QUARTET
3,5,8,4 110,804
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
2/11/3 3,288
2/11/5 3,318
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,11/3,5,8 86,444
9TH DOUBLE
11/3 822.5
11/5 610.5
SIX UP
2/9/2/2/11/3 2,225,029
2,12/8,9/1,2/2,5/6,11/3,5 1,291
1 [Z Purton] —
5 [C W Chang] —