Sha Tin · 2024-09-28
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-28 was Class 4 over 1200m. HAROLD WIN, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with BLAZING WIND second and AWESOME TREASURE third. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HAROLD WIN B/XB 1.09.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 6 | 2.4 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | BLAZING WIND TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 19.0 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | AWESOME TREASURE TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 21.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | WIN SPEED B K C Leung · M Newnham | K C Leung | M Newnham | 8 | 34.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | KING OBERON L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 7.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | LUCKY TOUCH B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 7 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | EVERYONE'S CLASSIC Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 2.8 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | GLORIOUS EXPERT P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 1 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | UNIVERSAL BLAZE P-/H1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 106.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | STRATHBARRY B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 2 | 44.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EVERYONE'S CLASSIC | 33.8% | 2.96 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | HAROLD WIN | 18.5% | 5.42 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | KING OBERON | 12.8% | 7.81 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | LUCKY TOUCH | 10.9% | 9.20 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 7.3% | 13.62 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | BLAZING WIND | 5.2% | 19.38 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | STRATHBARRY | 4.2% | 23.69 | 10 |
| 8 | 10 | WIN SPEED | 3.5% | 28.40 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | AWESOME TREASURE | 2.9% | 35.01 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | UNIVERSAL BLAZE | 1.0% | 101.74 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 24
PLACE
1 49
2 12
5 40
QUINELLA
2,5 203
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 95
1,5 304
2,5 68
FORECAST
2,5 307
TIERCE
2,5,1 3,003
TRIO
1,2,5 808
FIRST 4
1,2,5,10 3,301
QUARTET
2,5,1,10 42,174
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/1,2,5 18,454
7TH DOUBLE
2/2 212
2/5 249.5