Sha Tin · 2024-09-28
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PRAY FOR MIR Closed strongly CP1 1.34.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 5 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | VOYAGE SAMURAI Led early CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 3.5 | N |
| 3 | 7 | FORTUNATE SON Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 3 | 3.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | SUPER LOVE DRAGON Closed strongly TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | FRANTANCK TT P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 7 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | STAR MAC Closed strongly CP/TT1 L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 10 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | SWEET ENCOUNTER A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 45.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | CHING Closed strongly L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 8 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | M UNICORN Closed strongly H/P/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 4 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | SECOND TO NONE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | VOLCANIC SPARK B A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 12 | 7.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | WINNING DRAGON TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 25.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 9 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR H B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 9 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-28 was Class 3 over 1600m. PRAY FOR MIR, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W K Mo, won by N, with VOYAGE SAMURAI second and FORTUNATE SON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite VOYAGE SAMURAI finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 23.7% | 4.23 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | FORTUNATE SON | 14.9% | 6.73 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | SECOND TO NONE | 13.5% | 7.42 | 10 |
| 4 | 13 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 8.1% | 12.30 | 11 |
| 5 | 11 | PRAY FOR MIR | 6.1% | 16.34 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | SUPER LOVE DRAGON | 5.9% | 16.89 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | M UNICORN | 5.1% | 19.59 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | FRANTANCK | 4.6% | 21.53 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | WINNING DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.87 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | CHING | 4.4% | 22.81 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | STAR MAC | 4.1% | 24.45 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR | 3.1% | 32.24 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 1.9% | 52.22 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 145.5
PLACE
6 16.5
7 16.5
11 42.5
QUINELLA
6,11 268
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 33
6,11 100.5
7,11 107
FORECAST
11,6 693
TIERCE
11,6,7 3,310
TRIO
6,7,11 359
FIRST 4
6,7,11,12 1,123
QUARTET
11,6,7,12 36,948
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
2/6 17.5
2/11 517.5