Sha Tin · 2024-09-28
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-28 was Class 4 over 1200m. JOLLY COMPANION, ridden by P N Wong and trained by K L Man, won by 1, with BOWSER second and COSMO NAVIGATOR third. The 4.1 favourite REGENT GLORY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | JOLLY COMPANION CP/TT 1.09.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 4 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | BOWSER H-/PC1/TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 12 | 9.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | COSMO NAVIGATOR B Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 6 | 9.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | REGENT GLORY B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | ACA POWER CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | SHANGHAI STYLE B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | ROBOT KNIGHT CP-/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 2 | 6.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | DAY DAY VICTORY XB L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 5 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | HAPPY TANGO B E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SONIC BOOM TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 10 | 5.7 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | VALHALLA XB/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 9 | 38.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | FLYING DRAGON XB-/B2 A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 8 | 17.0 | 24 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | REGENT GLORY | 18.7% | 5.35 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | HAPPY TANGO | 17.1% | 5.85 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 10.6% | 9.39 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 8.6% | 11.58 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | JOLLY COMPANION | 8.2% | 12.21 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 7.3% | 13.72 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | SONIC BOOM | 7.0% | 14.30 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | BOWSER | 5.9% | 16.88 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | ACA POWER | 5.9% | 16.97 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | VALHALLA | 5.8% | 17.28 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | FLYING DRAGON | 3.2% | 30.88 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 1.6% | 62.85 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 110.5
PLACE
1 36
10 32
11 36
QUINELLA
1,11 705.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 169.5
1,11 226.5
10,11 172.5
FORECAST
11,1 1,565
TIERCE
11,1,10 13,925
TRIO
1,10,11 2,250
FIRST 4
1,3,10,11 2,471
QUARTET
11,1,10,3 92,983
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,8/1,10,11 314,542
3RD DOUBLE
5/1 35.5
5/11 501.5