Sha Tin · 2024-09-28
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-28 was Class 3 over 1200m. RUBYLOT, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with BOTTOMUPTOGETHER second and GREAT STATE third. The 1.5 favourite BOTTOMUPTOGETHER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RUBYLOT 1.09.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER SR Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 1.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | GREAT STATE TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 1 | 57.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | SUPER FORTUNE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 8.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | GOKO WIN B M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 4 | 7.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | GALVANIC TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 7 | 55.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | POLARIS B/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 3 | 40.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | ELEGANT LIFE CP A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 5 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | EQUATORIAL H1/SR1/TT1 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 6 | 81.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER | 57.8% | 1.73 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | RUBYLOT | 14.0% | 7.14 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | GOKO WIN | 8.3% | 12.09 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | SUPER FORTUNE | 6.2% | 16.12 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | GREAT STATE | 3.5% | 28.70 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | POLARIS | 3.3% | 30.24 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | EQUATORIAL | 3.2% | 30.97 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | GALVANIC | 2.3% | 43.65 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | ELEGANT LIFE | 1.4% | 70.25 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 58
PLACE
1 11.5
2 14.5
4 69.5
QUINELLA
1,2 33
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 17
1,4 95
2,4 156.5
FORECAST
2,1 145
TIERCE
2,1,4 1,497
TRIO
1,2,4 260
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 277
QUARTET
2,1,4,9 8,035
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
9/1 82
9/2 2,372.5