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Sha Tin · 2024-09-28

Race 3

Class 4 1200m Course C 10 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-28 was Class 4 over 1200m. SUPER LEGENDS, ridden by K H Chan and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/2, with YEE CHEONG RAIDER second and FUNG third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.87
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 SUPER LEGENDS TT 1.09.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · C S Shum 7 2.1 1-1/2
2 7 YEE CHEONG RAIDER B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards 8 5.9 1-1/2
3 8 FUNG B/TT H T Mo · C W Chang 1 79.0 4-1/4
4 10 URBAN TRIUMPH CP-/V2/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 9 20.0 4-1/4
5 6 LIFE OF STONE K C Leung · T P Yung 10 40.0 4-3/4
6 2 COLOURFUL WINNER M L Yeung · W Y So 2 3.4 4-3/4
7 3 POCHETTINO H/TT A Badel · J Size 3 10.0 5-1/4
8 1 MACANESE MASTER M F Poon · C H Yip 5 35.0 6
9 9 WINNING HEART V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 4 20.0 6-1/4
10 4 SEA AIR LEGEND E C W Wong · Y S Tsui 6 96.0 7-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER LEGENDS2. YEE CHEONG RAIDER+1.5L3. FUNG+4.25L4. URBAN TRIUMPH+4.25L5. LIFE OF STONE+4.75L6. COLOURFUL WINNER+4.75L7. POCHETTINO+5.25L8. MACANESE MASTER+6L9. WINNING HEART+6.25L10. SEA AIR LEGEND+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick COLOURFUL WINNER (22.8%) finished 6th — the winner SUPER LEGENDS was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 COLOURFUL WINNER 22.8% 4.39 6
2 5 SUPER LEGENDS 22.4% 4.46 1
3 9 WINNING HEART 15.5% 6.45 9
4 7 YEE CHEONG RAIDER 14.7% 6.81 2
5 1 MACANESE MASTER 8.2% 12.22 8
6 3 POCHETTINO 6.3% 15.99 7
7 10 URBAN TRIUMPH 4.1% 24.22 4
8 4 SEA AIR LEGEND 3.6% 28.02 10
9 6 LIFE OF STONE 1.4% 70.98 5
10 8 FUNG 1.1% 93.89 3
COLOURFUL WINNERSUPER LEGENDS — wonWINNING HEARTYEE CHEONG RAIDERMACANESE MASTERPOCHETTINOURBAN TRIUMPHSEA AIR LEGENDLIFE OF STONEFUNG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 21

PLACE

5 12

7 17

8 135.5

QUINELLA

5,7 62

QUINELLA PLACE

5,7 27.5

5,8 217.5

7,8 464

FORECAST

5,7 92

TIERCE

5,7,8 3,623

TRIO

5,7,8 1,105

FIRST 4

5,7,8,10 1,905

QUARTET

5,7,8,10 23,310

All pools (1 more)

2ND DOUBLE

8/5 194

8/7 55.5