Sha Tin · 2025-01-01 · 04:40
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-01 was Class 4 over 1200m. FUN ELITE, ridden by P N Wong and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with ALWAYS MY FOLKS second and RIDING HIGH third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FUN ELITE TT 1.09.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · T P Yung | P N Wong | T P Yung | 5 | 2.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS H1 B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 3 | 45.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | RIDING HIGH TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 8.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | SAVVY TWINKLE TT1 H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 9 | 5.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | HAPPY HOLIDAY CP-/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 2 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | ALMIGHTY KICK XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | SPICY SPANGLE TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 7 | 4.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | NOBLE GO XB1 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | LITTLE SQUID B- M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 91.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | SHOTGUN XB1 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 1 | 6.4 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | SPORTIC WARRIOR H M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 12 | 120.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 9 | BROTHER CHENG Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FUN ELITE | 32.9% | 3.04 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | SHOTGUN | 14.2% | 7.03 | 10 |
| 3 | 2 | RIDING HIGH | 13.1% | 7.65 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | SPICY SPANGLE | 9.0% | 11.08 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | ALMIGHTY KICK | 8.6% | 11.65 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | SAVVY TWINKLE | 7.9% | 12.69 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | NOBLE GO | 6.3% | 15.98 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | HAPPY HOLIDAY | 4.1% | 24.18 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS | 2.3% | 43.86 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | SPORTIC WARRIOR | 0.9% | 107.14 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | LITTLE SQUID | 0.7% | 138.13 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 28.5
PLACE
1 14
2 23
8 100.5
QUINELLA
1,8 926.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 40.5
1,8 278.5
2,8 423
FORECAST
1,8 1,219
TIERCE
1,8,2 7,215
TRIO
1,2,8 1,408
FIRST 4
1,2,5,8 1,314
QUARTET
1,8,2,5 32,849