Sha Tin · 2025-01-01 · 15:09
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SOLID WIN Closed strongly TT 1.22.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 10 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | PHOENIX LIGHT Closed strongly H A Pouchin · C H Yip | A Pouchin | C H Yip | 13 | 45.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | NOBLE FANS Closed strongly H1 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | YUEN LONG ELITE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 4 | 2.9 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | I AM THE BOSS Led early CP/XB A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 6 | 7.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 13 | PERFECTO MOMENTS Closed strongly CP M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 1 | 65.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GALE SAGA B E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 9 | 9.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | ALL ARE MINE Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 91.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | PATCH OF TIME H M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 16.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | GOOD LUCK BABE XB/TT L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 7 | 84.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | MR JUSTICE CP1/TT1 A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 8 | 162.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SANTORINI B1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 24.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | MR GOOD VIBES B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 14 | 115.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 5 | 25.0 | 20-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-01 was Class 4 over 1400m. SOLID WIN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with PHOENIX LIGHT second and NOBLE FANS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite YUEN LONG ELITE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | YUEN LONG ELITE | 29.3% | 3.41 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | SOLID WIN | 19.8% | 5.05 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | I AM THE BOSS | 8.7% | 11.53 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | PATCH OF TIME | 8.0% | 12.54 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | NOBLE FANS | 6.0% | 16.78 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | SANTORINI | 5.8% | 17.38 | 12 |
| 7 | 12 | GALE SAGA | 4.7% | 21.08 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | MR JUSTICE | 4.0% | 24.70 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | ALL ARE MINE | 3.6% | 27.82 | 8 |
| 10 | 14 | MR GOOD VIBES | 3.2% | 30.85 | 13 |
| 11 | 2 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 2.1% | 46.82 | 2 |
| 12 | 13 | PERFECTO MOMENTS | 2.1% | 46.99 | 6 |
| 13 | 11 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 1.4% | 71.72 | 14 |
| 14 | 1 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 1.2% | 80.12 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 30.5
PLACE
2 92.5
5 13.5
9 39.5
QUINELLA
2,5 685.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 192.5
2,9 695.5
5,9 66.5
FORECAST
5,2 941
TIERCE
5,2,9 13,205
TRIO
2,5,9 2,418
FIRST 4
2,3,5,9 1,233
QUARTET
5,2,9,3 50,970
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
3/2 732
3/5 734