Sha Tin · 2025-01-01 · 08:50
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-01 was Class 3 over 1200m. STORMING DRAGON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by N, with CHATEAUNEUF second and RUN RUN SMART third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | STORMING DRAGON V/TT 1.09.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 2.1 | N |
| 2 | 2 | CHATEAUNEUF B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 5.4 | N |
| 3 | 10 | RUN RUN SMART TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 2 | 22.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 4.6 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | HALO OF SUCCESS H-/XB/TT1 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 11 | 43.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | LIVEANDLETLIVE TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | WONDERSTAR B L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 9 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | HARMONY FIRE CP-/XB2/TT- P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 4 | 77.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | REZEKI M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 82.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | SWEET BRIAR V/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT K De Melo · T P Yung | K De Melo | T P Yung | 7 | 30.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | SUNNYVALE M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 67.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | STORMING DRAGON | 37.2% | 2.69 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS | 22.9% | 4.37 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | CHATEAUNEUF | 14.0% | 7.15 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 6.6% | 15.20 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | SWEET BRIAR | 5.1% | 19.67 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | WONDERSTAR | 3.4% | 29.56 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | REZEKI | 2.4% | 40.91 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | RUN RUN SMART | 2.2% | 46.39 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 1.8% | 54.18 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | SUNNYVALE | 1.7% | 57.51 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | HARMONY FIRE | 1.5% | 68.80 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | HALO OF SUCCESS | 1.2% | 80.37 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 21.5
PLACE
2 19.5
10 40
11 10.1
QUINELLA
2,11 56
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 267
2,11 25
10,11 81
FORECAST
11,2 102
TIERCE
11,2,10 1,710
TRIO
2,10,11 549
FIRST 4
2,5,10,11 291
QUARTET
11,2,10,5 4,914
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,9/2,10,11 21,311
8TH DOUBLE
6/2 19
6/11 63.5