Sha Tin · 2025-01-01 · 09:25
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-01 was Class 3 over 1200m. DANCING CODE, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by 2-1/4, with ROMANTIC SON second and KING MILES third. The 2.5 favourite LIFELINE EXPRESS finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DANCING CODE B/TT 1.09.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | ROMANTIC SON Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 6.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | KING MILES C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | LIFELINE EXPRESS E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 11 | 2.5 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | KNOW AT HEART M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | MATTERS MOST TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 63.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | PRAWNS ELEVEN XB/TT M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 7 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | ENDUED CP/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 6 | 7.3 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | UP WITH CHARM A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 3 | 72.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | LUCKY COMBINATION B M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 9 | 91.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 13.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | TELL ME MORE SR1/TT1 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 42.0 | 34-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ROMANTIC SON | 23.6% | 4.23 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 21.7% | 4.60 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | KING MILES | 11.8% | 8.46 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | DANCING CODE | 9.3% | 10.77 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | BEAUTY GLORY | 6.5% | 15.41 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | PRAWNS ELEVEN | 6.4% | 15.67 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | ENDUED | 6.0% | 16.60 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | TELL ME MORE | 4.9% | 20.48 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | KNOW AT HEART | 3.5% | 28.43 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | MATTERS MOST | 3.2% | 31.15 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | UP WITH CHARM | 2.1% | 46.77 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | LUCKY COMBINATION | 0.9% | 112.24 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 67
PLACE
1 20.5
2 22.5
5 26
QUINELLA
1,5 330
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 90
1,5 97
2,5 78.5
FORECAST
1,5 660
TIERCE
1,5,2 2,887
TRIO
1,2,5 557
FIRST 4
1,2,5,10 242
QUARTET
1,5,2,10 8,096
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
11/1 316
11/5 30