Sha Tin · 2025-01-01 · 08:15
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-01 was Group 3 over 1400m. PATCH OF THETA, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with DROMBEG BANNER second and GREEN N WHITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly XB 1.20.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 7 | 2.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | DROMBEG BANNER Led early A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 8.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | GREEN N WHITE Closed strongly M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 3 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | RED LION Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 7.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 1 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 4 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 10 | 42.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 9.1 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 2 | 63.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | FANTASTIC TREASURE B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 5 | 129.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PATCH OF THETA | 34.5% | 2.90 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | RED LION | 12.5% | 7.98 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 10.5% | 9.56 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | DROMBEG BANNER | 9.3% | 10.72 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | GREEN N WHITE | 7.5% | 13.30 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | TAJ DRAGON | 7.5% | 13.36 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | BEAUTY JOY | 7.2% | 13.81 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 4.8% | 20.75 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 3.0% | 33.05 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 2.0% | 48.94 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 1.1% | 94.63 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 22
PLACE
6 11.5
7 25
9 20.5
QUINELLA
6,7 103
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 43.5
6,9 31
7,9 83.5
FORECAST
6,7 160
TIERCE
6,7,9 722
TRIO
6,7,9 194
FIRST 4
6,7,8,9 382
QUARTET
6,7,9,8 4,685
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
7/6 80.5
7/7 82.5