Sha Tin · 2025-01-01 · 07:45
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-01 was Class 4 over 1600m. LEGEND ST PAUL'S, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by HD, with FLYING LUCK second and MATSU VICTOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LEGEND ST PAUL'S Closed strongly CP/TT 1.35.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 1.9 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | FLYING LUCK Closed strongly B/H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 4.2 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | MATSU VICTOR Closed strongly B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 9 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | SMILING COLLECTOR CP/XB H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 6 | 39.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly B A Pouchin · P F Yiu | A Pouchin | P F Yiu | 10 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 14 | 7.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS CP- L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 5 | 38.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | ONLY U Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · T P Yung | A Atzeni | T P Yung | 3 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 14 | FIGHT TIME B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | INTREPID WINNER B B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 1 | 67.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 13 | 92.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | EN PERFECTO CP/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 144.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | ACE WAR Led early B P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 8 | 123.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | HEALTHY GOLF XB1/TT- L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 129.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LEGEND ST PAUL'S | 32.9% | 3.04 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | FLYING LUCK | 23.2% | 4.31 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 12.7% | 7.87 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | MATSU VICTOR | 8.5% | 11.72 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 4.2% | 23.84 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 3.5% | 28.28 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | ONLY U | 3.1% | 32.30 | 8 |
| 8 | 14 | FIGHT TIME | 2.5% | 39.68 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS | 2.4% | 42.54 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | INTREPID WINNER | 2.1% | 48.72 | 10 |
| 11 | 13 | EN PERFECTO | 1.8% | 54.58 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | CELTIC TIMES | 1.3% | 76.96 | 11 |
| 13 | 10 | HEALTHY GOLF | 1.0% | 99.14 | 14 |
| 14 | 1 | ACE WAR | 0.7% | 137.81 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 19.5
PLACE
3 36
5 15
7 11.5
QUINELLA
5,7 44.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 70.5
3,7 54.5
5,7 22
FORECAST
7,5 83
TIERCE
7,5,3 474
TRIO
3,5,7 154
FIRST 4
3,5,7,9 655
QUARTET
7,5,3,9 6,173
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,9/3,5,7 55,314
6TH DOUBLE
5/5 16.5
5/7 106
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,3/2,5,9/3,5,7 3,098,438
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,3/2,5,9/Any Combination 25,805