Sha Tin · 2025-01-01 · 05:10
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-01 was Class 5 over 1800m. CHILLI BABA, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with ON THE LASH second and RED MAVERICK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite TURTLE AGAIN finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CHILLI BABA Closed strongly B 1.49.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 7 | 9.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | ON THE LASH Closed strongly V-/XB/PC1/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | RED MAVERICK Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 10 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SMASHING EXPRESS Closed strongly E A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 6.7 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | GLUCK RACER Closed strongly B/H2 H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 2 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | GO GO GO PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 13 | 6.6 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | CHATEAU LE PECHE B M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 9 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | TURTLE AGAIN B/TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 3 | 4.5 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 8 | 21.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | GOLDEN FAIRY A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 4 | 8.4 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | NICE BIRDIE TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 6 | 34.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | MARIO Led early B M L Yeung · D J Hall | M L Yeung | D J Hall | 12 | 83.0 | 24 |
| — | 8 | FAMILY FORTUNE E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GO GO GO | 20.6% | 4.85 | 7 |
| 2 | 12 | TURTLE AGAIN | 14.9% | 6.71 | 9 |
| 3 | 14 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 10.1% | 9.86 | 10 |
| 4 | 2 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 9.2% | 10.87 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | SUPER HONG KONG | 9.2% | 10.91 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 7.3% | 13.70 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | CHILLI BABA | 5.2% | 19.23 | 1 |
| 8 | 3 | GLUCK RACER | 5.0% | 20.10 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | ON THE LASH | 4.8% | 20.88 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 4.4% | 22.93 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | NICE BIRDIE | 4.0% | 24.91 | 12 |
| 12 | 13 | RED MAVERICK | 3.6% | 28.00 | 3 |
| 13 | 4 | MARIO | 1.8% | 56.02 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 98
PLACE
5 39
7 39
13 40
QUINELLA
5,7 626
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 208
5,13 278
7,13 300.5
FORECAST
7,5 1,248
TIERCE
7,5,13 14,661
TRIO
5,7,13 2,656
FIRST 4
5,6,7,13 16,781
QUARTET
7,5,13,6 372,597
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1,9/5 284
1,9/7 665