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Sha Tin · 2025-01-01 · 13:09

Race 2

Class 5 1800m Course C 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.49.18
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 CHILLI BABA Closed strongly B 1.49.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · P F Yiu 7 9.8 3/4
2 5 ON THE LASH Closed strongly V-/XB/PC1/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 11 10.0 3/4
3 13 RED MAVERICK Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 5 15.0 1-1/2
4 6 SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C H Yip 10 14.0 1-3/4
5 2 SMASHING EXPRESS Closed strongly E A Hamelin · J Size 1 6.7 2
6 3 GLUCK RACER Closed strongly B/H2 H Bentley · W K Mo 2 16.0 2-3/4
7 1 GO GO GO PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So 13 6.6 3
8 10 CHATEAU LE PECHE B M F Poon · K H Ting 9 10.0 3-3/4
9 12 TURTLE AGAIN B/TT H Bowman · T P Yung 3 4.5 8-1/4
10 14 JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang 8 21.0 10
11 11 GOLDEN FAIRY A Badel · W Y So 4 8.4 10-1/2
12 9 NICE BIRDIE TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 6 34.0 15-1/2
13 4 MARIO Led early B M L Yeung · D J Hall 12 83.0 24
— 8 FAMILY FORTUNE E C W Wong · C Fownes — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-01 was Class 5 over 1800m. CHILLI BABA, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with ON THE LASH second and RED MAVERICK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite TURTLE AGAIN finished 9th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHILLI BABA—2. ON THE LASH+0.75L3. RED MAVERICK+1.5L4. SUPER HONG KONG+1.75L5. SMASHING EXPRESS+2L6. GLUCK RACER+2.75L7. GO GO GO+3L8. CHATEAU LE PECHE+3.75L9. TURTLE AGAIN+8.25L10. JOYFUL CHAMPION+10L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick GO GO GO (20.6%) finished 7th — the winner CHILLI BABA was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 GO GO GO 20.6% 4.85 7
2 12 TURTLE AGAIN 14.9% 6.71 9
3 14 JOYFUL CHAMPION 10.1% 9.86 10
4 2 SMASHING EXPRESS 9.2% 10.87 5
5 6 SUPER HONG KONG 9.2% 10.91 4
6 11 GOLDEN FAIRY 7.3% 13.70 11
7 7 CHILLI BABA 5.2% 19.23 1
8 3 GLUCK RACER 5.0% 20.10 6
9 5 ON THE LASH 4.8% 20.88 2
10 10 CHATEAU LE PECHE 4.4% 22.93 8
11 9 NICE BIRDIE 4.0% 24.91 12
12 13 RED MAVERICK 3.6% 28.00 3
13 4 MARIO 1.8% 56.02 13
GO GO GOTURTLE AGAINJOYFUL CHAMPIONSMASHING EXPRESSSUPER HONG KONGGOLDEN FAIRYCHILLI BABA — wonGLUCK RACERON THE LASHCHATEAU LE PECHENICE BIRDIERED MAVERICKMARIO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 98

PLACE

5 39

7 39

13 40

QUINELLA

5,7 626

QUINELLA PLACE

5,7 208

5,13 278

7,13 300.5

FORECAST

7,5 1,248

TIERCE

7,5,13 14,661

TRIO

5,7,13 2,656

FIRST 4

5,6,7,13 16,781

QUARTET

7,5,13,6 372,597

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

1,9/5 284

1,9/7 665