Sha Tin · 2025-01-01 · 05:40
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-01 was Class 4 over 1200m. THE BOOM BOX, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with INVINCIBLE LUCKY second and GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY third. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | THE BOOM BOX 1.09.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 10 | 2.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | INVINCIBLE LUCKY B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 9 | 5.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY SR/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 3 | 33.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | ISLAND BREEZES PC-/B2 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 1 | 7.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | RUN RAN RUN B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 5 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | QUICK CONTRIBUTION H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 7 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER LOVE M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 2 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | JOYFUL TREASURE XB1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 28.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | FORTUNE BOY K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 18.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | COSMIC SPURS B/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 107.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | HE WAS YOU CP1/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 12 | 20.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | THRIVING BROTHERS B/XB/TT A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 4 | 6.2 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | THE BOOM BOX | 28.5% | 3.51 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | ISLAND BREEZES | 18.6% | 5.36 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 14.5% | 6.90 | 12 |
| 4 | 5 | JOYFUL TREASURE | 6.7% | 14.98 | 8 |
| 5 | 11 | HE WAS YOU | 6.5% | 15.39 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | QUICK CONTRIBUTION | 6.3% | 15.99 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | INVINCIBLE LUCKY | 5.5% | 18.12 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPER LOVE | 3.1% | 32.05 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 3.1% | 32.65 | 3 |
| 10 | 3 | RUN RAN RUN | 2.9% | 33.98 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | FORTUNE BOY | 2.6% | 37.93 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | COSMIC SPURS | 1.7% | 59.89 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 23.5
PLACE
1 13
10 62.5
12 17.5
QUINELLA
1,12 74
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 93
1,12 34
10,12 191.5
FORECAST
1,12 126
TIERCE
1,12,10 1,763
TRIO
1,10,12 557
FIRST 4
1,9,10,12 658
QUARTET
1,12,10,9 9,902
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,13/1,10,12 1,090,181
2ND DOUBLE
7/1 468
7/12 159.5