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Sha Tin · 2025-01-01 · 06:40

Race 5

Class 4 1400m Course C 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-01 was Class 4 over 1400m. DEVAS TWELVE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with FUN TOGETHER second and DRAGON JOY third. The winner led throughout. The 1.8 favourite BRILLIANT EXPRESS finished 9th.

Result

Official · 1.22.35
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 DEVAS TWELVE Wire to wire CP/TT 1.22.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So 7 21.0 3/4
2 2 FUN TOGETHER CP/TT L Ferraris · T P Yung 10 10.0 3/4
3 1 DRAGON JOY Closed strongly SR/TT Z Purton · P F Yiu 12 3.4 1-1/4
4 14 LUCKY MAN Closed strongly BO/H L Hewitson · D A Hayes 11 43.0 1-1/2
5 12 CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT A Atzeni · K L Man 9 17.0 1-3/4
6 8 MAX QUE Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham 14 133.0 2-1/2
7 10 SOMELOVEFROMABOVE XB B Avdulla · C Fownes 2 61.0 3
8 6 RUN RUN TIMING B-/TT H Bentley · C H Yip 5 12.0 3-3/4
9 5 BRILLIANT EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size 6 1.8 3-3/4
10 13 YEE CHEONG RAIDER Closed strongly V-/B2/TT K Teetan · J Richards 13 39.0 7-1/4
11 4 ACCOLADE START B-/XB1/TT A Badel · D Eustace 3 90.0 7-1/4
12 7 GENERAL SMART Closed strongly CP1/XB1/TT1 H T Mo · C S Shum 8 109.0 8-1/4
13 11 ALL EYES ON ME M L Yeung · C W Chang 4 177.0 10
14 9 SIKANDAR SR-/CP1/TT A Pouchin · D J Whyte 1 170.0 11-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DEVAS TWELVE2. FUN TOGETHER+0.75L3. DRAGON JOY+1.25L4. LUCKY MAN+1.5L5. CIRCUIT MIGHTY+1.75L6. MAX QUE+2.5L7. SOMELOVEFROMABOVE+3L8. RUN RUN TIMING+3.75L9. BRILLIANT EXPRESS+3.75L10. YEE CHEONG RAIDER+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick DRAGON JOY (34.3%) finished 3rd — the winner DEVAS TWELVE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 DRAGON JOY 34.3% 2.92 3
2 5 BRILLIANT EXPRESS 24.3% 4.12 9
3 3 DEVAS TWELVE 6.2% 16.07 1
4 6 RUN RUN TIMING 5.8% 17.28 8
5 2 FUN TOGETHER 4.4% 22.56 2
6 13 YEE CHEONG RAIDER 4.3% 23.06 10
7 10 SOMELOVEFROMABOVE 4.2% 23.76 7
8 12 CIRCUIT MIGHTY 3.9% 25.47 5
9 14 LUCKY MAN 3.5% 28.25 4
10 7 GENERAL SMART 3.1% 32.08 12
11 4 ACCOLADE START 2.5% 39.59 11
12 8 MAX QUE 1.9% 53.00 6
13 11 ALL EYES ON ME 1.0% 103.18 13
14 9 SIKANDAR 0.5% 185.17 14
DRAGON JOYBRILLIANT EXPRESSDEVAS TWELVE — wonRUN RUN TIMINGFUN TOGETHERYEE CHEONG RAIDERSOMELOVEFROMABOVECIRCUIT MIGHTYLUCKY MANGENERAL SMARTACCOLADE STARTMAX QUEALL EYES ON MESIKANDAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 211

PLACE

1 14.5

2 29.5

3 37

QUINELLA

2,3 786.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 58

1,3 71

2,3 180

FORECAST

3,2 1,663

TIERCE

3,2,1 4,502

TRIO

1,2,3 586

FIRST 4

1,2,3,14 3,211

QUARTET

3,2,1,14 109,582

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

1/1/2 360

1/1/3 2,448

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,3/1,2,3 2,601

4TH DOUBLE

1/2 91.5

1/3 703.5