Sha Tin · 2025-11-09 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MR GOOD VIBES Closed strongly 1:36.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 8.7 | — |
| 2 | 4 | PANDA LEGEND Closed strongly R Kingscote · W Y So | R Kingscote | W Y So | 11 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 13 | GANGNAM STAR Closed strongly K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 7 | 11.0 | N |
| 4 | 10 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 13 | 35.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | ONLY U Closed strongly K C Leung · B Crawford | K C Leung | B Crawford | 14 | 6.9 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | COSMO LIGHT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 142.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SMART BEAUTY Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | SUPREME WINNER Closed strongly A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 9 | 47.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 14 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 10 | 23.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | THE WAY WE WIN Led early H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 8 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | SMASHING EXPRESS B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 6.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | LITTLE FAIRY H Doyle · K H Ting | H Doyle | K H Ting | 5 | 35.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | PERFECT PEACH Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 3 | 3.3 | 8 |
| 14 | 2 | CELESTIAL HARMONY P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 12 | 9.8 | 8 |
| — | 14 | LAPRAS M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-09 was Class 5 over 1600m. MR GOOD VIBES, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won, with PANDA LEGEND second and GANGNAM STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite PERFECT PEACH finished 13th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PERFECT PEACH | 34.7% | 2.89 | 13 |
| 2 | 8 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 10.6% | 9.45 | 11 |
| 3 | 2 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 9.6% | 10.38 | 14 |
| 4 | 1 | ONLY U | 8.5% | 11.83 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | PANDA LEGEND | 5.6% | 17.97 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | MR GOOD VIBES | 5.5% | 18.25 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | SMART BEAUTY | 5.0% | 19.94 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | THE WAY WE WIN | 4.0% | 24.99 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | HARRY'S HERO | 3.6% | 27.70 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 3.6% | 28.13 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | GANGNAM STAR | 3.5% | 28.53 | 3 |
| 12 | 7 | LITTLE FAIRY | 2.3% | 42.77 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | SUPREME WINNER | 2.2% | 45.30 | 8 |
| 14 | 6 | COSMO LIGHT | 1.4% | 71.95 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 87
PLACE
4 38
11 26.5
13 37
QUINELLA
4,11 692.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 218
4,13 276.5
11,13 193.5
FORECAST
11,4 1,271
TIERCE
11,4,13 19,685
TRIO
4,11,13 3,403
FIRST 4
4,10,11,13 22,155
QUARTET
11,4,13,10 280,083