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Sha Tin · 2025-11-09 · 16:08

Race 7

Group 3 1800m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1:47.35
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly 1:47.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · B Crawford 10 7.9 —
2 3 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly A Badel · F C Lor 5 12.0 SH
3 5 MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly R Kingscote · C S Shum 8 36.0 1-1/4
4 6 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly H Doyle · P F Yiu 2 12.0 1-3/4
5 12 PRAY FOR MIR Led early M Chadwick · W K Mo 7 21.0 2-1/4
6 8 MASSIVE SOVEREIGN Closed strongly L Ferraris · D Eustace 3 6.0 3
7 11 BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size 11 10.0 3-1/4
8 10 SWORD POINT D Probert · F C Lor 6 124.0 4-1/2
9 1 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly K C Leung · A S Cruz 9 17.0 4-3/4
10 9 RUBYLOT Closed strongly H Bowman · D A Hayes 13 5.5 5
11 7 ENSUED B Avdulla · J Size 4 27.0 5-1/4
12 2 CHANCHENG GLORY C L Chau · K W Lui 1 18.0 12-1/2
— 4 CAP FERRAT Z Purton · K W Lui — 3.9 —
— 13 CALIFORNIATOTALITY Y L Chung · A S Cruz — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-09 was Group 3 over 1800m. ENCOUNTERED, ridden by K Teetan and trained by B Crawford, won, with HAPPY TOGETHER second and MOMENTS IN TIME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite CAP FERRAT did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ENCOUNTERED—2. HAPPY TOGETHER+0.1L3. MOMENTS IN TIME+1.25L4. SUNLIGHT POWER+1.75L5. PRAY FOR MIR+2.25L6. MASSIVE SOVEREIGN+3L7. BUNDLE AWARD+3.25L8. SWORD POINT+4.5L9. BEAUTY JOY+4.75L10. RUBYLOT+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MASSIVE SOVEREIGN (21.7%) finished 6th — the winner ENCOUNTERED was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 MASSIVE SOVEREIGN 21.7% 4.60 6
2 6 SUNLIGHT POWER 12.2% 8.23 4
3 9 RUBYLOT 12.0% 8.32 10
4 11 BUNDLE AWARD 8.8% 11.33 7
5 1 BEAUTY JOY 8.3% 12.07 9
6 2 CHANCHENG GLORY 8.0% 12.44 12
7 3 HAPPY TOGETHER 7.1% 14.15 2
8 14 ENCOUNTERED 6.4% 15.67 1
9 12 PRAY FOR MIR 5.8% 17.14 5
10 7 ENSUED 3.8% 26.37 11
11 5 MOMENTS IN TIME 3.5% 28.77 3
12 10 SWORD POINT 2.4% 42.28 8
MASSIVE SOVEREIGNSUNLIGHT POWERRUBYLOTBUNDLE AWARDBEAUTY JOYCHANCHENG GLORYHAPPY TOGETHERENCOUNTERED — wonPRAY FOR MIRENSUEDMOMENTS IN TIMESWORD POINT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 79.5

PLACE

3 36.5

5 78

14 30

QUINELLA

3,14 431

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 507

3,14 110

5,14 454

FORECAST

14,3 1,104

TIERCE

14,3,5 29,655

TRIO

3,5,14 6,511

FIRST 4

3,5,6,14 16,447

QUARTET

14,3,5,6 384,379

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

4/3 135.5

4/14 421