Sha Tin · 2025-11-09 · 08:10
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-09 was Group 3 over 1800m. ENCOUNTERED, ridden by K Teetan and trained by B Crawford, won, with HAPPY TOGETHER second and MOMENTS IN TIME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite CAP FERRAT did not finish.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly 1:47.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 10 | 7.9 | — |
| 2 | 3 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 5 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 8 | 36.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly H Doyle · P F Yiu | H Doyle | P F Yiu | 2 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | PRAY FOR MIR Led early M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | MASSIVE SOVEREIGN Closed strongly L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 3 | 6.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 11 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SWORD POINT D Probert · F C Lor | D Probert | F C Lor | 6 | 124.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 9 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | RUBYLOT Closed strongly H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 13 | 5.5 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | ENSUED B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 27.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | CHANCHENG GLORY C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 1 | 18.0 | 12-1/2 |
| — | 4 | CAP FERRAT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | — | 3.9 | — |
| — | 13 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MASSIVE SOVEREIGN | 21.7% | 4.60 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 12.2% | 8.23 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | RUBYLOT | 12.0% | 8.32 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | BUNDLE AWARD | 8.8% | 11.33 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY JOY | 8.3% | 12.07 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 8.0% | 12.44 | 12 |
| 7 | 3 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 7.1% | 14.15 | 2 |
| 8 | 14 | ENCOUNTERED | 6.4% | 15.67 | 1 |
| 9 | 12 | PRAY FOR MIR | 5.8% | 17.14 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | ENSUED | 3.8% | 26.37 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 3.5% | 28.77 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | SWORD POINT | 2.4% | 42.28 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 79.5
PLACE
3 36.5
5 78
14 30
QUINELLA
3,14 431
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 507
3,14 110
5,14 454
FORECAST
14,3 1,104
TIERCE
14,3,5 29,655
TRIO
3,5,14 6,511
FIRST 4
3,5,6,14 16,447
QUARTET
14,3,5,6 384,379
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
4/3 135.5
4/14 421