Sha Tin · 2025-11-09 · 08:45
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-09 was Class 4 over 1400m. SUPER LOVE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C H Yip, won, with STRATHPEFFER second and SUPERB GUY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite ETALON OR finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER LOVE Closed strongly 1:23.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 4 | 12.0 | — |
| 2 | 6 | STRATHPEFFER Led early L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 5.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | SUPERB GUY Closed strongly A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 2 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | ETALON OR Closed strongly A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 13 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | BETTER AND BETTER Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | BOWSER Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 28.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | SMART FAT CAT Closed strongly H Doyle · W K Mo | H Doyle | W K Mo | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | KYRUS TREASURE Closed strongly L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 8 | 82.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | YOUNG BRAVO Closed strongly J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 6 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | POSITIVE SMILE Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 8.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | EXCEL WONGCHOY H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 5 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | MOUNT EVEREST C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 8.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | I P O BROS M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 1 | 33.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 5 | MASSIVE FIRE R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 14 | 138.0 | 36-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | BETTER AND BETTER | 16.2% | 6.19 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | ETALON OR | 16.0% | 6.25 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | MOUNT EVEREST | 14.0% | 7.15 | 12 |
| 4 | 9 | SMART FAT CAT | 12.3% | 8.12 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | STRATHPEFFER | 9.5% | 10.57 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER LOVE | 7.3% | 13.75 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | POSITIVE SMILE | 5.5% | 18.21 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | SUPERB GUY | 4.0% | 25.00 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 3.8% | 26.33 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | YOUNG BRAVO | 3.1% | 32.17 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | I P O BROS | 2.6% | 37.85 | 13 |
| 12 | 4 | KYRUS TREASURE | 2.4% | 41.28 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | BOWSER | 2.3% | 42.70 | 6 |
| 14 | 5 | MASSIVE FIRE | 1.0% | 100.10 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 125.5
PLACE
3 36.5
6 21.5
12 52.5
QUINELLA
3,6 434.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 134
3,12 508
6,12 180.5
FORECAST
3,6 947
TIERCE
3,6,12 16,883
TRIO
3,6,12 2,910
FIRST 4
1,3,6,12 2,750
QUARTET
3,6,12,1 107,734
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,14/3,6,12 964,558
7TH DOUBLE
14/3 1,133.5
14/6 156