Sha Tin · 2025-11-09 · 09:20
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-09 was Class 3 over 1400m. THRIVING BROTHERS, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C H Yip, won, with LUCY IN THE SKY second and LITTLE PARADISE third. The winner led throughout. The 2.4 favourite LITTLE PARADISE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | THRIVING BROTHERS Wire to wire 1:22.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 31.0 | — |
| 2 | 5 | LUCY IN THE SKY H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 11 | 13.0 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | LITTLE PARADISE Closed strongly Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 8 | 2.4 | N |
| 4 | 11 | TIN FOOK K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 4 | 6.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | PRAY FOR JUSTICE D Probert · D Eustace | D Probert | D Eustace | 7 | 47.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | LUCKY SAM GOR Closed strongly A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 9 | 3.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | JUNEAU PRIDE Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | THE BOOM BOX Closed strongly C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 2 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | WIN EASE Closed strongly L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 14 | 226.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | COLOURFUL GAN H Doyle · D J Whyte | H Doyle | D J Whyte | 6 | 52.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | NOVA KNIGHT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 165.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | PANACEA E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 5 | 182.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | REAL GENTLEMAN C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 1 | 111.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | ANODE R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 13 | 15.0 | 18 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LITTLE PARADISE | 46.9% | 2.13 | 3 |
| 2 | 13 | LUCKY SAM GOR | 15.0% | 6.67 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | TIN FOOK | 7.6% | 13.14 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | JUNEAU PRIDE | 5.3% | 18.99 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | COLOURFUL GAN | 4.2% | 23.59 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 4.1% | 24.14 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | THE BOOM BOX | 4.0% | 25.11 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | ANODE | 3.4% | 29.07 | 14 |
| 9 | 14 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 3.2% | 31.73 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | REAL GENTLEMAN | 2.0% | 50.29 | 13 |
| 11 | 12 | PRAY FOR JUSTICE | 1.4% | 69.68 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | PANACEA | 1.2% | 84.11 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | WIN EASE | 0.9% | 114.71 | 9 |
| 14 | 9 | NOVA KNIGHT | 0.8% | 121.31 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 312.5
PLACE
2 13.5
5 35
14 72
QUINELLA
5,14 2,554.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 69
2,14 162.5
5,14 556
FORECAST
14,5 5,324
TIERCE
14,5,2 23,206
TRIO
2,5,14 1,478
FIRST 4
2,5,11,14 1,839
QUARTET
14,5,2,11 101,400
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
3/5 388.5
3/14 3,384