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Sha Tin · 2025-11-09 · 17:18

Race 9

Class 3 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:22.93
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 THRIVING BROTHERS Wire to wire 1:22.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C H Yip 10 31.0 —
2 5 LUCY IN THE SKY H Bowman · Y S Tsui 11 13.0 HD
3 2 LITTLE PARADISE Closed strongly Z Purton · K H Ting 8 2.4 N
4 11 TIN FOOK K Teetan · D J Hall 4 6.6 1-1/4
5 12 PRAY FOR JUSTICE D Probert · D Eustace 7 47.0 2-1/2
6 13 LUCKY SAM GOR Closed strongly A Atzeni · M Newnham 9 3.4 2-3/4
7 1 JUNEAU PRIDE Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size 12 16.0 3
8 3 THE BOOM BOX Closed strongly C Y Ho · W Y So 2 19.0 5-3/4
9 8 WIN EASE Closed strongly L Hewitson · K W Lui 14 226.0 5-3/4
10 7 COLOURFUL GAN H Doyle · D J Whyte 6 52.0 7
11 9 NOVA KNIGHT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 3 165.0 8
12 6 PANACEA E C W Wong · P F Yiu 5 182.0 8-1/4
13 10 REAL GENTLEMAN C L Chau · K L Man 1 111.0 8-1/2
14 4 ANODE R Kingscote · C S Shum 13 15.0 18

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-09 was Class 3 over 1400m. THRIVING BROTHERS, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C H Yip, won, with LUCY IN THE SKY second and LITTLE PARADISE third. The winner led throughout. The 2.4 favourite LITTLE PARADISE finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THRIVING BROTHERS—2. LUCY IN THE SKY+0.2L3. LITTLE PARADISE+0.05L4. TIN FOOK+1.25L5. PRAY FOR JUSTICE+2.5L6. LUCKY SAM GOR+2.75L7. JUNEAU PRIDE+3L8. THE BOOM BOX+5.75L9. WIN EASE+5.75L10. COLOURFUL GAN+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LITTLE PARADISE (46.9%) finished 3rd — the winner THRIVING BROTHERS was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 LITTLE PARADISE 46.9% 2.13 3
2 13 LUCKY SAM GOR 15.0% 6.67 6
3 11 TIN FOOK 7.6% 13.14 4
4 1 JUNEAU PRIDE 5.3% 18.99 7
5 7 COLOURFUL GAN 4.2% 23.59 10
6 5 LUCY IN THE SKY 4.1% 24.14 2
7 3 THE BOOM BOX 4.0% 25.11 8
8 4 ANODE 3.4% 29.07 14
9 14 THRIVING BROTHERS 3.2% 31.73 1
10 10 REAL GENTLEMAN 2.0% 50.29 13
11 12 PRAY FOR JUSTICE 1.4% 69.68 5
12 6 PANACEA 1.2% 84.11 12
13 8 WIN EASE 0.9% 114.71 9
14 9 NOVA KNIGHT 0.8% 121.31 11
LITTLE PARADISELUCKY SAM GORTIN FOOKJUNEAU PRIDECOLOURFUL GANLUCY IN THE SKYTHE BOOM BOXANODETHRIVING BROTHERS — wonREAL GENTLEMANPRAY FOR JUSTICEPANACEAWIN EASENOVA KNIGHT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 312.5

PLACE

2 13.5

5 35

14 72

QUINELLA

5,14 2,554.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 69

2,14 162.5

5,14 556

FORECAST

14,5 5,324

TIERCE

14,5,2 23,206

TRIO

2,5,14 1,478

FIRST 4

2,5,11,14 1,839

QUARTET

14,5,2,11 101,400

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

3/5 388.5

3/14 3,384