Sha Tin · 2025-11-09 · 07:05
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-09 was Class 3 over 1200m. CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM, ridden by P N Wong and trained by K L Man, won, with SUNNY DA BEST second and INFINITE RESOLVE third. The 3.4 favourite INFINITE RESOLVE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM 1:10.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 11 | 52.0 | — |
| 2 | 5 | SUNNY DA BEST C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | INFINITE RESOLVE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 3.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | MATTERS MOST E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 8 | 3.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | TAOGETHER K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | SUGAR SUGAR M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 2 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | LIFELINE EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 7.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | OTOKOMAE R Kingscote · C H Yip | R Kingscote | C H Yip | 4 | 38.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | ALL TOO BRAVE A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 9 | 63.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | BIGTIME GENERATION C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 3 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | CALIFORNIA BLUES Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 38.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | ETERNAL RICHNESS H Doyle · P C Ng | H Doyle | P C Ng | 10 | 16.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 26.6% | 3.76 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | SUNNY DA BEST | 17.8% | 5.62 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | INFINITE RESOLVE | 17.1% | 5.84 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | MATTERS MOST | 8.4% | 11.88 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | TAOGETHER | 5.6% | 17.87 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | ETERNAL RICHNESS | 5.5% | 18.19 | 12 |
| 7 | 3 | CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM | 5.0% | 20.13 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | CALIFORNIA BLUES | 4.1% | 24.26 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | SUGAR SUGAR | 4.1% | 24.67 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | ALL TOO BRAVE | 3.1% | 32.75 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | BIGTIME GENERATION | 1.6% | 63.40 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | OTOKOMAE | 1.2% | 81.81 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 525
PLACE
2 14.5
3 110.5
5 17.5
QUINELLA
3,5 1,269.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 223.5
2,5 36
3,5 386
FORECAST
3,5 3,311
TIERCE
3,5,2 13,249
TRIO
2,3,5 1,327
FIRST 4
2,3,4,5 802
QUARTET
3,5,2,4 30,412
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
14/5/3 224,094
14/5/5 3,524
4TH DOUBLE
5/3 5,051
5/5 92.5