Sha Tin · 2025-11-09 · 07:40
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-09 was Class 4 over 1200m. SZERYNG, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won, with GREAT SPIRIT second and CALIFORNIA BLITZ third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SZERYNG 1:09.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 2.8 | — |
| 2 | 10 | GREAT SPIRIT H Doyle · C H Yip | H Doyle | C H Yip | 11 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 6.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | VOYAGE BOSS K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | AWESOME TREASURE L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 2 | 34.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | VULCANUS C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 8 | 32.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 5 | 6.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | JUBILANT WINNER A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 6 | 4.1 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | MOTOMAN J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 1 | 104.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | BRAVE WIN C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 56.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 9 | 44.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | GOOD CHAP H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 25.0 | 20-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JUBILANT WINNER | 24.2% | 4.13 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | SZERYNG | 23.6% | 4.25 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 18.1% | 5.54 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ | 12.7% | 7.89 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | GREAT SPIRIT | 4.0% | 24.96 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | AWESOME TREASURE | 3.6% | 27.94 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | VULCANUS | 3.1% | 32.37 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | BRAVE WIN | 2.8% | 35.91 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | VOYAGE BOSS | 2.5% | 39.77 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | GOOD CHAP | 2.4% | 41.30 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT | 1.8% | 56.67 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | MOTOMAN | 1.4% | 73.91 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 28.5
PLACE
4 15.5
8 17
10 36.5
QUINELLA
4,10 338.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 49.5
4,10 116
8,10 153.5
FORECAST
4,10 389
TIERCE
4,10,8 2,009
TRIO
4,8,10 578
FIRST 4
2,4,8,10 1,220
QUARTET
4,10,8,2 18,658
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,5/4,8,10 111,682
5TH DOUBLE
3/4 1,935.5
3/10 1,035.5
TRIPLE TRIO
5,8,9/2,3,5/4,8,10 1,347,121
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,8,9/2,3,5/Any Combination 26,942