Sha Tin · 2025-11-09 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly 1:35.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 14 | 13.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | AUDACIOUS PURSUIT Closed strongly H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 13 | 6.1 | HD |
| 3 | 8 | GLORIASTAR Closed strongly L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 7.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | CHINA WIN Closed strongly H Doyle · D A Hayes | H Doyle | D A Hayes | 12 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | HAPPY UNIVERSE R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 7 | 6.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | INNO SUPER Closed strongly Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 11 | 4.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | BEAUTY MISSILE A Badel · B Crawford | A Badel | B Crawford | 2 | 6.6 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 3 | 24.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | GALLANT EPOCH K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 5 | 13.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | FLYING KNIGHT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 8 | 37.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | THE LION KING M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 99.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | TURF PHOENIX H T Mo · W Y So | H T Mo | W Y So | 10 | 115.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | GOR GOR Led early M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 6 | 128.0 | 24-1/4 |
| — | 11 | VOLCANIC SPARK M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-09 was Class 4 over 1600m. THE AUSPICIOUS, ridden by J Orman and trained by Y S Tsui, won, with AUDACIOUS PURSUIT second and GLORIASTAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite INNO SUPER finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | INNO SUPER | 24.0% | 4.17 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 12.7% | 7.88 | 5 |
| 3 | 14 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 11.1% | 9.03 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | AUDACIOUS PURSUIT | 9.0% | 11.16 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | GLORIASTAR | 8.1% | 12.30 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | CHINA WIN | 7.0% | 14.34 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 6.5% | 15.33 | 1 |
| 8 | 3 | BEAUTY VIVA | 6.5% | 15.38 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | GALLANT EPOCH | 4.0% | 24.79 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 3.8% | 26.24 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | FLYING KNIGHT | 2.6% | 39.04 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | TURF PHOENIX | 2.3% | 43.12 | 13 |
| 13 | 2 | THE LION KING | 1.4% | 73.49 | 12 |
| 14 | 12 | GOR GOR | 1.1% | 90.62 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 135
PLACE
5 32.5
8 23.5
9 23
QUINELLA
5,9 453
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 213.5
5,9 133.5
8,9 86.5
FORECAST
5,9 944
TIERCE
5,9,8 8,725
TRIO
5,8,9 1,313
FIRST 4
5,7,8,9 5,354
QUARTET
5,9,8,7 141,442
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,14/5,8,9 689,735
3RD DOUBLE
14/5 3,572.5
14/9 523.5