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Sha Tin · 2025-11-09 · 14:01

Race 3

Class 5 1400m Course C+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1:22.84
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 KA YING POWER Closed strongly 1:22.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · J Size 10 32.0 —
2 9 TEAM HAPPY H Doyle · P C Ng 8 19.0 1-1/4
3 7 MY FLYING ANGEL Closed strongly A Badel · F C Lor 11 12.0 2-1/4
4 1 CIRCUIT FIERY Z Purton · W Y So 3 1.7 3-1/2
5 6 LEGEND STAR Closed strongly H Bowman · C S Shum 14 31.0 3-3/4
6 3 IRON LEGION Y L Chung · A S Cruz 9 48.0 4
7 5 SOMETHING JONAH Closed strongly J Orman · D J Hall 13 59.0 5-3/4
8 12 THE CONCENTRATION C L Chau · P F Yiu 6 7.3 6-1/4
9 4 BLUE BARON K C Leung · W K Mo 4 10.0 6-3/4
10 10 YOU'REMYEVERYTHING H T Mo · C W Chang 1 26.0 8-3/4
11 13 BINGO BABE M F Poon · Y S Tsui 12 69.0 10-1/2
12 8 DECRELOT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 2 13.0 13
13 2 CIRCUIT VICTORY Led early P N Wong · K L Man 7 27.0 16-1/2
— 11 DOUBLE SHOW K Teetan · B Crawford — — —
— 13 EURO ROCKS M Chadwick · C H Yip — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-09 was Class 5 over 1400m. KA YING POWER, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by J Size, won, with TEAM HAPPY second and MY FLYING ANGEL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.7 favourite CIRCUIT FIERY finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KA YING POWER—2. TEAM HAPPY+1.25L3. MY FLYING ANGEL+2.25L4. CIRCUIT FIERY+3.5L5. LEGEND STAR+3.75L6. IRON LEGION+4L7. SOMETHING JONAH+5.75L8. THE CONCENTRATION+6.25L9. BLUE BARON+6.75L10. YOU'REMYEVERYTHING+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CIRCUIT FIERY (49.4%) finished 4th — the winner KA YING POWER was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 CIRCUIT FIERY 49.4% 2.02 4
2 8 DECRELOT 12.6% 7.93 12
3 9 TEAM HAPPY 5.7% 17.64 2
4 6 LEGEND STAR 4.7% 21.20 5
5 12 THE CONCENTRATION 4.5% 22.29 8
6 2 CIRCUIT VICTORY 4.3% 23.47 13
7 10 YOU'REMYEVERYTHING 4.0% 24.88 10
8 4 BLUE BARON 3.8% 26.56 9
9 7 MY FLYING ANGEL 3.7% 26.99 3
10 14 KA YING POWER 2.2% 45.13 1
11 3 IRON LEGION 2.1% 47.67 6
12 5 SOMETHING JONAH 1.5% 65.00 7
13 13 BINGO BABE 1.5% 67.88 11
CIRCUIT FIERYDECRELOTTEAM HAPPYLEGEND STARTHE CONCENTRATIONCIRCUIT VICTORYYOU'REMYEVERYTHINGBLUE BARONMY FLYING ANGELKA YING POWER — wonIRON LEGIONSOMETHING JONAHBINGO BABE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 320

PLACE

7 26.5

9 40.5

14 62.5

QUINELLA

9,14 2,096.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,9 250.5

7,14 395.5

9,14 482.5

FORECAST

14,9 5,196

TIERCE

14,9,7 39,619

TRIO

7,9,14 5,262

FIRST 4

1,7,9,14 1,728

QUARTET

14,9,7,1 80,016

All pools (1 more)

2ND DOUBLE

6/9 346.5

6/14 2,623.5