Sha Tin · 2025-11-09 · 06:05
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-09 was Class 5 over 1400m. KA YING POWER, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by J Size, won, with TEAM HAPPY second and MY FLYING ANGEL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.7 favourite CIRCUIT FIERY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | KA YING POWER Closed strongly 1:22.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 10 | 32.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | TEAM HAPPY H Doyle · P C Ng | H Doyle | P C Ng | 8 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | MY FLYING ANGEL Closed strongly A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 11 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | CIRCUIT FIERY Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 3 | 1.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | LEGEND STAR Closed strongly H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 14 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | IRON LEGION Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 48.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | SOMETHING JONAH Closed strongly J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 13 | 59.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | THE CONCENTRATION C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 6 | 7.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | BLUE BARON K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 4 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 1 | 26.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | BINGO BABE M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 12 | 69.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | DECRELOT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 2 | 13.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 2 | CIRCUIT VICTORY Led early P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 7 | 27.0 | 16-1/2 |
| — | 11 | DOUBLE SHOW K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | — | — | — |
| — | 13 | EURO ROCKS M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 49.4% | 2.02 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | DECRELOT | 12.6% | 7.93 | 12 |
| 3 | 9 | TEAM HAPPY | 5.7% | 17.64 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | LEGEND STAR | 4.7% | 21.20 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | THE CONCENTRATION | 4.5% | 22.29 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 4.3% | 23.47 | 13 |
| 7 | 10 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 4.0% | 24.88 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | BLUE BARON | 3.8% | 26.56 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 3.7% | 26.99 | 3 |
| 10 | 14 | KA YING POWER | 2.2% | 45.13 | 1 |
| 11 | 3 | IRON LEGION | 2.1% | 47.67 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | SOMETHING JONAH | 1.5% | 65.00 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | BINGO BABE | 1.5% | 67.88 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 320
PLACE
7 26.5
9 40.5
14 62.5
QUINELLA
9,14 2,096.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 250.5
7,14 395.5
9,14 482.5
FORECAST
14,9 5,196
TIERCE
14,9,7 39,619
TRIO
7,9,14 5,262
FIRST 4
1,7,9,14 1,728
QUARTET
14,9,7,1 80,016
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
6/9 346.5
6/14 2,623.5