Sha Tin · 2025-11-09 · 05:35
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-09 was Class 4 over 1000m. SIGHT HERMOSO, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won, with LITTLE MONSTER second and CAP LINER third. The 3.4 favourite JUMBO BLESSING finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SIGHT HERMOSO 0:57.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 9.9 | — |
| 2 | 12 | LITTLE MONSTER C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 14 | 24.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | CAP LINER L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 3 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | JUMBO BLESSING C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 3.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SO MY FOLKS H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 5 | 44.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | KA YING WARRIOR K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 10 | 5.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | CIRRUS SPEED M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 56.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | THE PROMISE M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | — | 151.0 | — |
| 8 | 10 | STRAIGHT TO GLORY J Orman · C W Chang | J Orman | C W Chang | — | 8.5 | — |
| 10 | 5 | RUN RUN SUNRISE K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 18.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | WINNING DIAMOND M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | — | 14.0 | — |
| 11 | 14 | WINNING MONEY K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | — | 7.4 | — |
| 13 | 4 | MAGIC SUPER P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 8 | 48.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | GIANT BALLON L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 6 | 20.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | JUMBO BLESSING | 21.7% | 4.61 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | STRAIGHT TO GLORY | 16.0% | 6.25 | 8 |
| 3 | 11 | KA YING WARRIOR | 12.1% | 8.27 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | SO MY FOLKS | 7.8% | 12.89 | 5 |
| 5 | 14 | WINNING MONEY | 7.6% | 13.11 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | GIANT BALLON | 6.8% | 14.72 | 14 |
| 7 | 13 | WINNING DIAMOND | 5.8% | 17.24 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | RUN RUN SUNRISE | 5.1% | 19.45 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | MAGIC SUPER | 3.9% | 25.97 | 13 |
| 10 | 12 | LITTLE MONSTER | 3.8% | 26.02 | 2 |
| 11 | 6 | SIGHT HERMOSO | 3.7% | 26.82 | 1 |
| 12 | 1 | CAP LINER | 3.6% | 28.16 | 3 |
| 13 | 9 | CIRRUS SPEED | 1.3% | 78.89 | 7 |
| 14 | 8 | THE PROMISE | 0.9% | 115.42 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 99
PLACE
1 36
6 28.5
12 62
QUINELLA
6,12 1,692
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 174
1,12 501
6,12 489.5
FORECAST
6,12 2,745
TIERCE
6,12,1 41,461
TRIO
1,6,12 6,277
FIRST 4
1,3,6,12 4,586
QUARTET
6,12,1,3 170,112
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/6 1,396.5
11/12 307.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,11,13/F 2,250