Sha Tin · 2022-01-01 · 17:48
Race 11
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-01 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. NAVAS TWO, ridden by R Maia and trained by R Gibson, won by 1/2, with OSCAR GLORY second and HORSESAIN BOLT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite ZONE D finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | NAVAS TWO Closed strongly CP 1.21.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 1 | 5.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | OSCAR GLORY CP V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 2 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | HORSESAIN BOLT B/XB B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 13 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 13 | 3.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | ENNEA FORTUNE Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 12 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 80.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE Closed strongly B K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 3 | 16.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | KINDA COOL B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 53.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 9 | 150.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | NEVER TOO SOON Led early L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 11 | 20.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | MIGHTY VALOR H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 8 | 60.0 | 19 |
| 13 | 1 | COBHFIELD SR/XB M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 4 | 15.0 | 20-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | ZONE D | 22.0% | 4.55 | 4 |
| 2 | 12 | OSCAR GLORY | 21.8% | 4.60 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 11.7% | 8.58 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | NAVAS TWO | 9.6% | 10.42 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | COBHFIELD | 6.8% | 14.71 | 13 |
| 6 | 9 | ENNEA FORTUNE | 6.3% | 15.82 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | KINDA COOL | 5.8% | 17.20 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 4.2% | 23.81 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | ZOOM BOOM | 3.6% | 27.50 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | KOWLOON GREAT | 3.5% | 28.96 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | NEVER TOO SOON | 2.8% | 35.87 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | MIGHTY VALOR | 1.5% | 65.67 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE | 0.5% | 208.61 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 57.5
PLACE
5 23
6 19.5
12 16
QUINELLA
6,12 135
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 74
5,12 47.5
6,12 47.5
FORECAST
6,12 294
TIERCE
6,12,5 1,471
TRIO
5,6,12 315
FIRST 4
5,6,12,13 143
QUARTET
6,12,5,13 3,941
All pools (5 more)
10TH DOUBLE
10/6 147.5
10/12 25
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 21
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,10/5,6,12 6,318
SIX UP
6/7/5/5/10/6 2,140
6,12/7,13/3,5/5,10/5,10/6,12 309
2 [A Badel] —
TREBLE
5/10/6 358
5/10/12 89