Sha Tin · 2022-01-01 · 14:31
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CROSSFORD Closed strongly H/P 1.34.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 11 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN Closed strongly SR H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 3.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER DYNAMITE Closed strongly M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 12 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | KILINDINI TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 3 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND Led early B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 5.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FUNCTION PATCH B/H/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 5 | 42.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | STORM LEGEND K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 2 | 4.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | INDIGENOUS REALM TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 59.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM CP/H/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 6 | 52.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-01 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CROSSFORD, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with TURIN REDSUN second and RISE BRETHREN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite RISE BRETHREN finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KILINDINI | 35.3% | 2.83 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND | 14.7% | 6.78 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN | 9.8% | 10.21 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | STORM LEGEND | 8.2% | 12.13 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 6.4% | 15.57 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | CROSSFORD | 5.8% | 17.21 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 5.3% | 18.95 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN | 4.8% | 20.96 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | FUNCTION PATCH | 3.6% | 28.13 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 2.1% | 48.23 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 2.0% | 49.09 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 1.9% | 52.22 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 144.5
PLACE
2 16.5
4 31.5
11 37.5
QUINELLA
4,11 603.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 64.5
2,11 83
4,11 175
FORECAST
11,4 1,760
TIERCE
11,4,2 6,551
TRIO
2,4,11 580
FIRST 4
2,4,6,11 1,704
QUARTET
11,4,2,6 59,384
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/2,4,11 12,594
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 29
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/4 98
2/11 748