Sha Tin · 2022-01-01 · 16:06
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-01 was Group 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. MASTER EIGHT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with SIGHT SUCCESS second and SUPER WEALTHY third. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER EIGHT 0.56.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 5 | 1.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | SIGHT SUCCESS E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 9.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER WEALTHY A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 7 | 7.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | VALIANT DREAM M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 1 | 35.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | HONG KONG WIN M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 8 | 27.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | COMPUTER PATCH TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 2 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | VOYAGE WARRIOR K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER EIGHT | 57.1% | 1.75 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 13.1% | 7.64 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER WEALTHY | 8.9% | 11.22 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 6.1% | 16.31 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | KEEP YOU WARM | 5.6% | 17.93 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | COMPUTER PATCH | 3.8% | 26.29 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | VALIANT DREAM | 3.2% | 30.99 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | HONG KONG WIN | 2.1% | 46.66 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 13.5
PLACE
2 16.5
3 15.5
5 11
QUINELLA
3,5 54.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 49
2,5 19
3,5 24
FORECAST
5,3 59
TIERCE
5,3,2 134
TRIO
2,3,5 60
FIRST 4
2,3,5,8 192
QUARTET
5,3,2,8 1,296
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
7,10,13/2,3,5 2,891
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 13.5
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/3 76
7/5 59.5
WINNING TRAINER
B2 13.5
B4 —
B1 —
B3 —