Sha Tin · 2022-01-01 · 15:36
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-01 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. NIMBLE NIMBUS, ridden by H Bentley and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with LEADING FORTUNE second and TURQUOISE ALPHA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite LEADING FORTUNE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly CP/XB 1.35.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 9 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 13 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 12 | 45.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | EEVEE Closed strongly B M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 1 | 33.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 11 | 69.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | LIGHT OF WANSHI Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 7 | 3.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | JADE PHOENIX Led early B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 13 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | STRATHMORETOO L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 2 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly CP/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 14 | 35.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | LOYAL AMBITION H/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 90.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 10 | 22.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 5 | TELECOM ROCKET B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 4 | 41.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | LEADING FORTUNE | 26.0% | 3.84 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 11.8% | 8.51 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 11.8% | 8.51 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | JADE PHOENIX | 8.9% | 11.18 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | TELECOM ROCKET | 6.4% | 15.73 | 14 |
| 6 | 1 | DECISIVE ACTION | 5.9% | 16.97 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | CITY LEGEND | 5.8% | 17.22 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | EEVEE | 5.4% | 18.38 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | NOBLE STEED | 4.3% | 23.20 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 3.9% | 25.64 | 3 |
| 11 | 8 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 3.6% | 27.79 | 13 |
| 12 | 14 | STRATHMORETOO | 3.0% | 33.16 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | FLYING MIGHTY | 1.8% | 55.48 | 6 |
| 14 | 9 | LOYAL AMBITION | 1.4% | 71.82 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 40
PLACE
7 17.5
10 38
13 16.5
QUINELLA
7,13 76
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 96
7,13 33.5
10,13 113
FORECAST
7,13 146
TIERCE
7,13,10 1,529
TRIO
7,10,13 411
FIRST 4
6,7,10,13 2,671
QUARTET
7,13,10,6 29,459
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 19
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
6/7 194
6/13 66.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,11/6,7,12/7,10,13 2,379,612
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,11/6,7,12/Any Combination 7,270