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Sha Tin · 2022-01-01 · 15:36

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly CP/XB 1.35.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · P F Yiu 9 4.0 1/2
2 0 LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B J Moreira · J Size 5 3.6 1/2
3 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP B Shinn · P O'Sullivan 8 15.0 1
4 0 NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B R Maia · K W Lui 12 45.0 1-1/2
5 0 EEVEE Closed strongly B M Chadwick · D A Hayes 1 33.0 2-1/4
6 0 FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT H T Mo · D J Hall 11 69.0 3
7 0 LIGHT OF WANSHI Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W Y So 7 3.8 3-1/2
8 0 JADE PHOENIX Led early B K Teetan · F C Lor 13 12.0 4
9 0 STRATHMORETOO L Ferraris · A T Millard 2 20.0 4-1/4
10 0 CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 6 18.0 4-1/2
11 0 DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly CP/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum 14 35.0 5
12 0 LOYAL AMBITION H/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 3 90.0 6-3/4
13 0 CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO A Badel · K L Man 10 22.0 10
14 0 TELECOM ROCKET B M F Poon · Y S Tsui 4 41.0 10-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-01 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. NIMBLE NIMBUS, ridden by H Bentley and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with LEADING FORTUNE second and TURQUOISE ALPHA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite LEADING FORTUNE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. NIMBLE NIMBUS—2. LEADING FORTUNE+0.5L3. TURQUOISE ALPHA+1L4. NOBLE STEED+1.5L5. EEVEE+2.25L6. FLYING MIGHTY+3L7. LIGHT OF WANSHI+3.5L8. JADE PHOENIX+4L9. STRATHMORETOO+4.25L10. CITY LEGEND+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick LEADING FORTUNE (26.0%) finished 2nd — the winner NIMBLE NIMBUS was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LEADING FORTUNE 26.0% 3.84 2
2 0 LIGHT OF WANSHI 11.8% 8.51 7
3 0 NIMBLE NIMBUS 11.8% 8.51 1
4 0 JADE PHOENIX 8.9% 11.18 8
5 0 TELECOM ROCKET 6.4% 15.73 14
6 0 DECISIVE ACTION 5.9% 16.97 11
7 0 CITY LEGEND 5.8% 17.22 10
8 0 EEVEE 5.4% 18.38 5
9 0 NOBLE STEED 4.3% 23.20 4
10 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA 3.9% 25.64 3
11 0 CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO 3.6% 27.79 13
12 0 STRATHMORETOO 3.0% 33.16 9
13 0 FLYING MIGHTY 1.8% 55.48 6
14 0 LOYAL AMBITION 1.4% 71.82 12
LEADING FORTUNELIGHT OF WANSHINIMBLE NIMBUS — wonJADE PHOENIXTELECOM ROCKETDECISIVE ACTIONCITY LEGENDEEVEENOBLE STEEDTURQUOISE ALPHACIRCUIT SPIRITANTOSTRATHMORETOOFLYING MIGHTYLOYAL AMBITION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 40

PLACE

7 17.5

10 38

13 16.5

QUINELLA

7,13 76

QUINELLA PLACE

7,10 96

7,13 33.5

10,13 113

FORECAST

7,13 146

TIERCE

7,13,10 1,529

TRIO

7,10,13 411

FIRST 4

6,7,10,13 2,671

QUARTET

7,13,10,6 29,459

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 19

6TH DOUBLE

6/7 194

6/13 66.5

TRIPLE TRIO

2,4,11/6,7,12/7,10,13 2,379,612

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,4,11/6,7,12/Any Combination 7,270