Sha Tin · 2022-01-01 · 14:01
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY Closed strongly V/TT 1.22.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 7 | 6.6 | N |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS Closed strongly E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL Closed strongly E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 2.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO B-/CP2 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 7.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | DUKE WAI B/H C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 5.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY P/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 8.7 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | BUDDIES Led early H M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 17.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-01 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HEALTHY HAPPY, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with LUCKY EXPRESS second and EXCELLENT PROPOSAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite EXCELLENT PROPOSAL finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 35.9% | 2.78 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | DUKE WAI | 18.9% | 5.29 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 14.0% | 7.16 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO | 11.0% | 9.11 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 8.7% | 11.45 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 7.4% | 13.45 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | BUDDIES | 4.0% | 24.80 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 66.5
PLACE
2 19.5
4 24.5
6 11
QUINELLA
2,4 318
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 75
2,6 30
4,6 36
FORECAST
2,4 566
TIERCE
2,4,6 1,355
TRIO
2,4,6 196
FIRST 4
2,4,6,7 209
QUARTET
2,4,6,7 8,520
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 33
3RD DOUBLE
5/2 347
5/4 57