Sha Tin · 2022-01-01 · 13:00
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FLYING ACE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/4, with LESLIE second and BEAUTY LIVE third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FLYING ACE B 1.09.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 2.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | LESLIE H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY LIVE TT1 J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 8 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | WISDOM PATCH TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | FUN N GLORY TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 8.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | TRADER B2/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 10 | 9.5 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | E LEGEND C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 7 | 42.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | BEST FOR YOU B V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 1 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 13 | 31.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | NOBLE BOYZ CP/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 12 | 65.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | DASSIT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 92.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 24.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | BUDDY SPIRIT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 68.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | COOLCELEB B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 3 | 67.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY LIVE | 22.2% | 4.50 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | FLYING ACE | 15.9% | 6.28 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | TRADER | 13.6% | 7.37 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 10.2% | 9.84 | 9 |
| 5 | 12 | BEST FOR YOU | 8.4% | 11.91 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | FUN N GLORY | 5.7% | 17.65 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | E LEGEND | 3.9% | 25.35 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | DASSIT | 3.9% | 25.93 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | BUDDY SPIRIT | 3.7% | 27.37 | 13 |
| 10 | 14 | WISDOM PATCH | 3.6% | 27.69 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | NOBLE BOYZ | 3.6% | 27.74 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | LESLIE | 2.0% | 49.28 | 2 |
| 13 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY | 1.9% | 53.24 | 12 |
| 14 | 7 | COOLCELEB | 1.5% | 67.25 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 20.5
PLACE
2 12.5
5 24.5
11 20.5
QUINELLA
2,11 73.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 47
2,11 33.5
5,11 93.5
FORECAST
2,11 142
TIERCE
2,11,5 654
TRIO
2,5,11 179
FIRST 4
2,5,11,14 687
QUARTET
2,11,5,14 7,499
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/2 1,552.5
10/11 344
3 PICK 1
A1 17.5
A3 —
A2 —