Sha Tin · 2022-01-01 · 15:02
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-01 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. DARCI JOY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with RED ELYSEES second and LUCKY DIAMOND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 5.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B 1.48.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 13 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B2/TT1 A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 4 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | LUCKY DIAMOND Closed strongly B K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 10 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 6 | 8.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SHANGHAI DRAGON Led early B R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 1 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | PAKISTAN FRIEND TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 5 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | AI ONE Closed strongly B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 2 | 7.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 12 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND B H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 3 | 8.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | JOYFUL HEART CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | SMART PATCH B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | FULL POWER B/XB L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 9 | 56.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 10 | AGILITY STAR H1/TT H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 8 | 96.0 | 16-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DARCI JOY | 16.1% | 6.21 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 11.2% | 8.90 | 3 |
| 3 | 13 | SUPER HONG KONG | 10.7% | 9.36 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | JOYFUL HEART | 10.2% | 9.83 | 10 |
| 5 | 12 | RED ELYSEES | 10.0% | 10.00 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 8.8% | 11.41 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | AI ONE | 8.6% | 11.63 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 7.9% | 12.64 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 6.0% | 16.56 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 4.9% | 20.32 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | SMART PATCH | 3.6% | 27.67 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | FULL POWER | 1.3% | 75.93 | 12 |
| 13 | 10 | AGILITY STAR | 0.6% | 156.32 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 51.5
PLACE
6 22.5
7 38.5
12 24
QUINELLA
6,12 170
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 127
6,12 66
7,12 150.5
FORECAST
6,12 379
TIERCE
6,12,7 4,076
TRIO
6,7,12 793
FIRST 4
6,7,12,13 1,352
QUARTET
6,12,7,13 32,947
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 25
A3 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
11/6 932
11/12 188