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Sha Tin · 2022-01-01 · 15:02

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1800m Course B+2 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.48.60
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 DARCI JOY Closed strongly B 1.48.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · P F Yiu 13 5.1 1-1/4
2 0 RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B2/TT1 A Badel · K L Man 4 5.9 1-1/4
3 0 LUCKY DIAMOND Closed strongly B K Teetan · K H Ting 10 11.0 1-1/2
5 0 SHANGHAI DRAGON Led early B R Maia · T P Yung 1 9.4 1-3/4
6 0 PAKISTAN FRIEND TT C L Chau · W Y So 5 18.0 3-1/4
7 0 AI ONE Closed strongly B Shinn · D A Hayes 2 7.3 3-1/2
8 0 MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V J Moreira · C H Yip 12 13.0 4
9 0 SWOT TROOPERS WIND B H Bentley · D J Hall 3 8.8 4-1/2
10 0 JOYFUL HEART CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 7 11.0 4-1/2
11 0 SMART PATCH B V Borges · P O'Sullivan 11 21.0 4-3/4
12 0 FULL POWER B/XB L Ferraris · R Gibson 9 56.0 9
13 0 AGILITY STAR H1/TT H N Wong · P F Yiu 8 96.0 16-1/2
— 0 SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard — 8.7 1-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-01 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. DARCI JOY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with RED ELYSEES second and LUCKY DIAMOND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 5.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DARCI JOY—2. RED ELYSEES+1.25L3. LUCKY DIAMOND+1.5L5. SHANGHAI DRAGON+1.75L6. PAKISTAN FRIEND+3.25L7. AI ONE+3.5L8. MURRAY'S PARTNERS+4L9. SWOT TROOPERS WIND+4.5L10. JOYFUL HEART+4.5L11. SMART PATCH+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick DARCI JOY (16.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DARCI JOY 16.1% 6.21 1
2 0 LUCKY DIAMOND 11.2% 8.90 3
3 0 SUPER HONG KONG 10.7% 9.36 —
4 0 JOYFUL HEART 10.2% 9.83 10
5 0 RED ELYSEES 10.0% 10.00 2
6 0 SHANGHAI DRAGON 8.8% 11.41 5
7 0 AI ONE 8.6% 11.63 7
8 0 MURRAY'S PARTNERS 7.9% 12.64 8
9 0 SWOT TROOPERS WIND 6.0% 16.56 9
10 0 PAKISTAN FRIEND 4.9% 20.32 6
11 0 SMART PATCH 3.6% 27.67 11
12 0 FULL POWER 1.3% 75.93 12
13 0 AGILITY STAR 0.6% 156.32 13
DARCI JOY — wonLUCKY DIAMONDSUPER HONG KONGJOYFUL HEARTRED ELYSEESSHANGHAI DRAGONAI ONEMURRAY'S PARTNERSSWOT TROOPERS WINDPAKISTAN FRIENDSMART PATCHFULL POWERAGILITY STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 51.5

PLACE

6 22.5

7 38.5

12 24

QUINELLA

6,12 170

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 127

6,12 66

7,12 150.5

FORECAST

6,12 379

TIERCE

6,12,7 4,076

TRIO

6,7,12 793

FIRST 4

6,7,12,13 1,352

QUARTET

6,12,7,13 32,947

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 25

A3 —

5TH DOUBLE

11/6 932

11/12 188