Sha Tin · 2023-04-09 · 17:18
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED LION Closed strongly 1.21.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 1.7 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 10 | 6.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | FLAMING RABBIT SR1/XB1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNNY STAR Closed strongly A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 61.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PACKING TREADMILL SR C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 5.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GRATEFUL HEART Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 9 | 116.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly H-/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FAMILY FOLKS B C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 2 | 114.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND B H N Wong · F C Lor | H N Wong | F C Lor | 7 | 99.0 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | — | 43.0 | 5 |
| — | 0 | POWER KOEPP Led early E S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | — | 66.0 | 3-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-09 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. RED LION, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by HD, with FANTASTIC TREASURE second and FLAMING RABBIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED LION | 31.3% | 3.20 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | PACKING TREADMILL | 14.6% | 6.83 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 11.3% | 8.84 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 8.1% | 12.40 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND | 6.7% | 14.90 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 5.6% | 17.97 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | SUNNY STAR | 5.0% | 20.04 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | FLAMING RABBIT | 4.5% | 21.99 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 3.6% | 27.54 | — |
| 10 | 0 | POWER KOEPP | 3.2% | 30.91 | — |
| 11 | 0 | GRATEFUL HEART | 3.1% | 32.09 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | FAMILY FOLKS | 2.9% | 34.02 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 17.5
PLACE
3 20
9 10.1
11 30
QUINELLA
3,9 53.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 24.5
3,11 98.5
9,11 47
FORECAST
9,3 81
TIERCE
9,3,11 583
TRIO
3,9,11 178
FIRST 4
3,8,9,11 1,414
QUARTET
9,3,11,8 10,504
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 13
9TH DOUBLE
1/3 14
1/9 23.5