Sha Tin · 2023-04-09 · 13:06
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EL VALIENTE Closed strongly TT 1.39.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY Closed strongly B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 13 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | GOLD COMET Closed strongly B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 2 | 8.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN Closed strongly B L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 11 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | WIN WIN CHARITY Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 85.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR Closed strongly P1 V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 1 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | EUROMISSILE B/XB M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 7 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | COMPULSORY B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 8 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 12 | 22.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | REGENCY GEM V/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 3 | 9.5 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHIRON Closed strongly TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 6 | 4.9 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | BARON ZEE Led early B/TT S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 4 | 13.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | BELL OF VICTORY B/TT C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 9 | 84.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | DREAM CATCHER B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 159.0 | 16-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-09 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. EL VALIENTE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/4, with TRAVEL GLORY second and GOLD COMET third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EL VALIENTE | 21.5% | 4.64 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CHIRON | 16.9% | 5.90 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD | 10.6% | 9.45 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | COMPULSORY | 6.9% | 14.39 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 6.9% | 14.48 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | EUROMISSILE | 6.4% | 15.73 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN | 5.9% | 17.08 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | BARON ZEE | 5.8% | 17.34 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLD COMET | 5.3% | 18.92 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY | 5.1% | 19.67 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR | 2.6% | 37.88 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | BELL OF VICTORY | 2.5% | 40.32 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | WIN WIN CHARITY | 2.3% | 42.60 | 5 |
| 14 | 0 | DREAM CATCHER | 1.3% | 78.68 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 30
PLACE
4 15
9 26.5
13 43
QUINELLA
4,13 288
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 48.5
4,13 101
9,13 206.5
FORECAST
4,13 774
TIERCE
4,13,9 3,205
TRIO
4,9,13 450
FIRST 4
4,9,11,13 1,762
QUARTET
4,13,9,11 31,893
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/4 128
5/13 153
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18.5
A2 —