Sha Tin · 2023-04-09 · 14:06
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.48.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 2.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET Closed strongly H/PC/XB C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 12 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 11 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO Led early B/H/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 8 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 9 | 7.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 6 | 69.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | KA YING GLORIOUS Closed strongly B M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 10 | 99.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE SR/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 11.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 2 | 43.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS V C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 3 | 55.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | EMERGING B/H/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 4 | 20.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 4.7 | 11-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-09 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. AMAZING TEENS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with BILLIONAIRE SECRET second and COLOURFUL BARON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE | 23.3% | 4.30 | 12 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS | 15.0% | 6.66 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 15.0% | 6.67 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 11.1% | 9.04 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 7.3% | 13.69 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON | 6.7% | 14.91 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | EMERGING | 6.5% | 15.42 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 5.9% | 17.00 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 4.9% | 20.46 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO | 1.7% | 59.81 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 1.6% | 62.65 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | KA YING GLORIOUS | 1.1% | 89.32 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 24
PLACE
3 12.5
6 24
12 30.5
QUINELLA
3,6 100.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 42
3,12 59.5
6,12 123.5
FORECAST
3,6 163
TIERCE
3,6,12 1,236
TRIO
3,6,12 361
FIRST 4
3,6,9,12 1,150
QUARTET
3,6,12,9 13,613
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/3 88
8/6 29