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Sha Tin · 2023-04-09 · 16:07

Race 8

Group 2 GOOD 1200m Course B+2 6 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 WELLINGTON XB/CP2 A Badel · R Gibson 1 5.8 1
3 0 MASTER EIGHT CP-/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 2 57.0 3
4 0 REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT S De Sousa · F C Lor 7 34.0 4
5 0 CORDYCEPS SIX B M Chadwick · R Gibson 3 16.0 5-1/4
6 0 COURIER WONDER H K Teetan · J Size 5 14.0 6
7 0 WHIZZ KID B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 6 60.0 8-1/2
— 0 LUCKY SWEYNESSE Z Purton · K L Man — 1.2 1

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-09 was Group 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WELLINGTON, ridden by A Badel and trained by R Gibson, won by 1, with MASTER EIGHT second and REWARDING TOGETHER third. The 1.2 favourite LUCKY SWEYNESSE did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. WELLINGTON+1L3. MASTER EIGHT+3L4. REWARDING TOGETHER+4L5. CORDYCEPS SIX+5.25L6. COURIER WONDER+6L7. WHIZZ KID+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LUCKY SWEYNESSE 62.5% 1.60 —
2 0 WELLINGTON 11.4% 8.74 2
3 0 CORDYCEPS SIX 7.1% 14.18 5
4 0 COURIER WONDER 7.1% 14.18 6
5 0 REWARDING TOGETHER 6.7% 15.02 4
6 0 WHIZZ KID 3.1% 32.28 7
7 0 MASTER EIGHT 2.2% 45.05 3
LUCKY SWEYNESSEWELLINGTONCORDYCEPS SIXCOURIER WONDERREWARDING TOGETHERWHIZZ KIDMASTER EIGHT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 12

PLACE

1 10.1

2 14.5

5 59.5

QUINELLA

1,2 20.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 12

1,5 124.5

2,5 182.5

FORECAST

1,2 23

TIERCE

1,2,5 412

TRIO

1,2,5 203

FIRST 4

1,2,5,6 328

QUARTET

1,2,5,6 1,683

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 12

A2 —

A3 —

7TH DOUBLE

3/1 30

3/2 29