Sha Tin · 2023-04-09 · 17:53
Race 11
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly 1.22.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 9 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SOLID IMPACT Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 4.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | RUN RUN BUDDY Led early CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ARIEL CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | WINNER METHOD Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 6.5 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY DAY Closed strongly A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 4 | 8.3 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | UNPRESUMING Closed strongly B S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 12 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | ETERNAL BLOOM C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 3 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | DINKUM CP/TT1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 2 | 9.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | LAUGH TALE SR1/XB1/TT1 H Bentley · R Gibson | H Bentley | R Gibson | 6 | 91.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | G LINER SR V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 8 | 111.0 | 14-3/4 |
| — | 0 | FIND MY LOVE Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | — | 42.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 0 | TURIN MASCOT B/TT R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | — | 131.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-09 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TAJ DRAGON, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won by 3/4, with SOLID IMPACT second and RUN RUN BUDDY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite SOLID IMPACT finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SOLID IMPACT | 16.8% | 5.94 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | WINNER METHOD | 16.6% | 6.02 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | UNPRESUMING | 13.3% | 7.53 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | RUN RUN BUDDY | 11.9% | 8.42 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ETERNAL BLOOM | 8.3% | 12.03 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | ARIEL | 7.3% | 13.62 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 6.6% | 15.11 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY DAY | 6.3% | 15.81 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | DINKUM | 3.8% | 26.45 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | FIND MY LOVE | 3.3% | 30.19 | — |
| 11 | 0 | TAJ DRAGON | 2.8% | 35.76 | 1 |
| 12 | 0 | LAUGH TALE | 1.5% | 64.78 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | TURIN MASCOT | 0.7% | 134.71 | — |
| 14 | 0 | G LINER | 0.6% | 165.68 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 119.5
PLACE
4 17
6 28
13 32.5
QUINELLA
4,13 300
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 64
4,13 99
6,13 163.5
FORECAST
13,4 675
TIERCE
13,4,6 4,925
TRIO
4,6,13 717
FIRST 4
4,6,11,13 2,534
QUARTET
13,4,6,11 60,656
All pools (5 more)
10TH DOUBLE
9/4 16.5
9/13 242.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 25
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,9,11/4,6,13 10,330
SIX UP
2/3/1/1/9/13 711
2,6/3,9/1,2/1,5/3,9/4,13 65
2 [H Bowman] —
4 [F C Lor] —
TREBLE
1/9/4 18
1/9/13 346