Sha Tin · 2023-04-09 · 13:37
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 7.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | MULTISUPER H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TURBO POWER B- C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 9.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H/B2/TT S De Sousa · A S Cruz | S De Sousa | A S Cruz | 6 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 35.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | HAR HAR AT HEART H-/E1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 106.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TALENTS SUPREMO XB L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 5 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | FARIBAULT B L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 9 | 32.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CAMINO H1 M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 4 | 96.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BAYVIEW STAR H1 M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 3 | 130.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SPARKLING KNIGHT B2 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 11 | 18.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | SOARING PENGSHAN SR-/B1/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 12 | 38.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 0 | RED ELEGANCE XB1/TT1 Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | — | 2.5 | 2-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-09 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY ENCOUNTER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by 2-1/4, with MULTISUPER second and TURBO POWER third. The 2.5 favourite RED ELEGANCE did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MULTISUPER | 40.9% | 2.45 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | RED ELEGANCE | 15.1% | 6.63 | — |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER | 7.6% | 13.16 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 7.2% | 13.90 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | TURBO POWER | 6.1% | 16.29 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 5.0% | 20.18 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | BAYVIEW STAR | 4.5% | 22.01 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | FARIBAULT | 4.5% | 22.14 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 2.5% | 39.23 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | SOARING PENGSHAN | 2.0% | 48.93 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 1.8% | 55.51 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | HAR HAR AT HEART | 1.5% | 66.39 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | CAMINO | 1.2% | 84.54 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 25
PLACE
3 15.5
7 24.5
8 12
QUINELLA
7,8 94
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 50.5
3,8 23
7,8 43.5
FORECAST
8,7 172
TIERCE
8,7,3 444
TRIO
3,7,8 93
FIRST 4
3,7,8,13 135
QUARTET
8,7,3,13 1,979
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,13/3,7,8 11,969
2ND DOUBLE
4/7 55
4/8 111.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14