Sha Tin · 2023-04-09 · 16:43
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Closed strongly TT 1.34.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 2 | 1.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER Closed strongly S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 8 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 53.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 3 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 7 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | WAIKUKU K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 75.0 | 5-1/2 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | — | 7.0 | 1 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-09 was Group 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CALIFORNIA SPANGLE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with MONEY CATCHER second and HEALTHY HAPPY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 61.5% | 1.63 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY | 8.3% | 12.06 | — |
| 3 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER | 8.2% | 12.17 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 6.0% | 16.57 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY | 4.9% | 20.47 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 4.3% | 23.05 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | WAIKUKU | 4.3% | 23.50 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 2.5% | 40.72 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 12.5
PLACE
1 10.1
4 19
5 20
QUINELLA
1,5 45
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 17
1,5 23.5
4,5 51
FORECAST
1,5 54
TIERCE
1,5,4 156
TRIO
1,4,5 53
FIRST 4
1,4,5,8 241
QUARTET
1,5,4,8 1,478
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 12.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,5/1,4,5 1,509
8TH DOUBLE
1/1 14.5
1/5 36.5