Sha Tin · 2023-04-09 · 14:36
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly V/XB 1.35.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 4 | 4.1 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | PERFETTO Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 2.2 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 12 | 60.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | PUBLICIST Closed strongly H A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | BULB PRINCE Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 7 | 8.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LOOKING COOL CP2 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE Led early B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 1 | 26.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | NUNCHUKS TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 22.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI SR/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 11 | 22.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | ORIENTAL SPIRIT Closed strongly L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 82.0 | 16 |
| 12 | 0 | LEATHER MASTER B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 139.0 | 17-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-09 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SMILING COLLECTOR, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K H Ting, won by NOSE, with PERFETTO second and SUPERB MOVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite PERFETTO finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PERFETTO | 34.4% | 2.90 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 17.4% | 5.76 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | PUBLICIST | 9.2% | 10.89 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | BULB PRINCE | 8.3% | 12.08 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 8.0% | 12.57 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 4.8% | 20.96 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | NUNCHUKS | 4.4% | 22.97 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 3.7% | 27.23 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE | 3.4% | 29.00 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | ORIENTAL SPIRIT | 3.0% | 33.07 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | LOOKING COOL | 2.8% | 36.09 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | LEATHER MASTER | 0.7% | 134.37 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 41.5
PLACE
1 11
3 17
12 110
QUINELLA
1,3 47
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 23
1,12 222.5
3,12 371
FORECAST
3,1 137
TIERCE
3,1,12 4,458
TRIO
1,3,12 848
FIRST 4
1,3,4,12 1,036
QUARTET
3,1,12,4 23,138
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,12/1,3,12 19,010
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/1 11
3/3 167