Sha Tin · 2023-04-09 · 15:06
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-09 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. WE ARE HERO, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K L Man, won by 1-3/4, with CALIFORNIA DEEPLY second and METRO WARRIOR third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WE ARE HERO V/TT 0.57.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 11 | 2.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | METRO WARRIOR B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 6.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SPECIAL M PC/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 13 | NORTHERN BEACHES K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B-/H/V1 R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | 12 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL PC K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 10 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | STAR BRITE CP/TT S De Sousa · K W Lui | S De Sousa | K W Lui | 3 | 40.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | MAYHEM H1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 35.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SUNNY BOY B/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 5 | 110.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | HAPPY SHARING CP V Borges · P C Ng | V Borges | P C Ng | 8 | 52.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 13 | 139.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WE ARE HERO | 28.7% | 3.49 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 23.8% | 4.20 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | STAR BRITE | 7.0% | 14.29 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | SPECIAL M | 6.7% | 14.87 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL | 6.4% | 15.68 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | METRO WARRIOR | 5.9% | 16.92 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE | 5.6% | 17.73 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | MAYHEM | 3.8% | 26.10 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 3.6% | 27.78 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 2.9% | 34.33 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY SHARING | 2.0% | 50.04 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | SUNNY BOY | 2.0% | 51.03 | 11 |
| 13 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN | 1.6% | 64.27 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 20.5
PLACE
2 11.5
6 18.5
8 21
QUINELLA
2,6 59
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 29
2,8 34
6,8 59
FORECAST
2,6 78
TIERCE
2,6,8 311
TRIO
2,6,8 126
FIRST 4
2,5,6,8 579
QUARTET
2,6,8,5 4,815
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 20.5
5TH DOUBLE
3/2 95.5
3/6 41.5