Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-04-09 · 15:06

Race 6

Class 3 GOOD 1000m Course B+2 13 runners

Result

Official · 0.57.10
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 WE ARE HERO V/TT 0.57.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · K L Man 11 2.0 1-3/4
2 0 CALIFORNIA DEEPLY TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 1 4.6 1-3/4
3 0 METRO WARRIOR B L Hewitson · D A Hayes 7 6.6 2-3/4
4 0 SPECIAL M PC/TT A Badel · J Size 2 31.0 3
5 0 NORTHERN BEACHES K Teetan · W Y So 6 14.0 3-3/4
6 0 EQUALETTA BLITZ B-/H/V1 R Maia · D J Whyte 12 20.0 4
7 0 RUN RUN COOL PC K C Leung · F C Lor 9 22.0 5-1/2
8 0 ATOMIC FORCE H Bentley · C Fownes 10 13.0 5-1/2
9 0 STAR BRITE CP/TT S De Sousa · K W Lui 3 40.0 6-1/4
10 0 MAYHEM H1 M Chadwick · F C Lor 4 35.0 6-3/4
11 0 SUNNY BOY B/TT C L Chau · W Y So 5 110.0 7-1/4
12 0 HAPPY SHARING CP V Borges · P C Ng 8 52.0 10-1/2
13 0 GALLANT CROWN B/TT H T Mo · A T Millard 13 139.0 11-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-09 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. WE ARE HERO, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K L Man, won by 1-3/4, with CALIFORNIA DEEPLY second and METRO WARRIOR third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WE ARE HERO—2. CALIFORNIA DEEPLY+1.75L3. METRO WARRIOR+2.75L4. SPECIAL M+3L5. NORTHERN BEACHES+3.75L6. EQUALETTA BLITZ+4L7. RUN RUN COOL+5.5L8. ATOMIC FORCE+5.5L9. STAR BRITE+6.25L10. MAYHEM+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick WE ARE HERO (28.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 WE ARE HERO 28.7% 3.49 1
2 0 CALIFORNIA DEEPLY 23.8% 4.20 2
3 0 STAR BRITE 7.0% 14.29 9
4 0 SPECIAL M 6.7% 14.87 4
5 0 RUN RUN COOL 6.4% 15.68 7
6 0 METRO WARRIOR 5.9% 16.92 3
7 0 ATOMIC FORCE 5.6% 17.73 8
8 0 MAYHEM 3.8% 26.10 10
9 0 NORTHERN BEACHES 3.6% 27.78 5
10 0 EQUALETTA BLITZ 2.9% 34.33 6
11 0 HAPPY SHARING 2.0% 50.04 12
12 0 SUNNY BOY 2.0% 51.03 11
13 0 GALLANT CROWN 1.6% 64.27 13
WE ARE HERO — wonCALIFORNIA DEEPLYSTAR BRITESPECIAL MRUN RUN COOLMETRO WARRIORATOMIC FORCEMAYHEMNORTHERN BEACHESEQUALETTA BLITZHAPPY SHARINGSUNNY BOYGALLANT CROWN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 20.5

PLACE

2 11.5

6 18.5

8 21

QUINELLA

2,6 59

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 29

2,8 34

6,8 59

FORECAST

2,6 78

TIERCE

2,6,8 311

TRIO

2,6,8 126

FIRST 4

2,5,6,8 579

QUARTET

2,6,8,5 4,815

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 20.5

A3 —

5TH DOUBLE

3/2 95.5

3/6 41.5