Sha Tin · 2024-06-23 · 12:50
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-23 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. JAMES TAK, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with LUCY IN THE SKY second and MODULECONSTRUCTION third. The 1.5 favourite LUCY IN THE SKY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JAMES TAK CP 1.09.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | LUCY IN THE SKY H K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 1.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | MODULECONSTRUCTION TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | NOT USUAL STAR H/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 4 | 65.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | TORONADO PHANTOM P-/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 30.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | POLARIS B1/TT1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 66.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | GOKO WIN B A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 10 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | PHOENIX LIGHT H E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 7 | 30.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | YEAH BUDDY TT1 M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 13 | 179.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | FASHION LEGEND B-/TT- A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 6 | 41.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER B/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 14 | 84.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | NATURAL HIGH H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 3 | 140.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 12 | SILK ROAD GLORY Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 31.1% | 3.21 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR | 16.8% | 5.97 | 12 |
| 3 | 8 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 14.8% | 6.73 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | JAMES TAK | 12.4% | 8.04 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 6.4% | 15.54 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 3.7% | 26.82 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | NATURAL HIGH | 2.8% | 35.88 | 13 |
| 8 | 9 | POLARIS | 2.6% | 37.75 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | GOKO WIN | 2.5% | 40.36 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER | 2.1% | 48.32 | 11 |
| 11 | 14 | FASHION LEGEND | 1.9% | 53.44 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | NOT USUAL STAR | 1.6% | 63.12 | 4 |
| 13 | 13 | YEAH BUDDY | 1.2% | 81.52 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 123
PLACE
1 26
5 11.5
8 29
QUINELLA
1,5 73
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 30.5
1,8 130.5
5,8 44
FORECAST
1,5 318
TIERCE
1,5,8 1,861
TRIO
1,5,8 240
FIRST 4
1,5,6,8 2,041
QUARTET
1,5,8,6 46,158
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
2/1 412.5
2/5,12 10.5