Sha Tin · 2024-06-23 · 19:05
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | AWESOME FLUKE Closed strongly P/TT 2.01.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 14 | 8.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly E Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 3.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly PC/TT H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 6 | 9.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | WINNING DRAGON V-/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | PACKING HURRICANE Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 13 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 3 | 54.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | ILLUMINOUS Closed strongly V K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 8.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 9.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | WOODFIRE BRO TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 12 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | ESCAPE ROUTE H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | ACCOLADE START B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 9 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | DEVILDOM B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 55.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | ORIENTAL SMOKE Led early B B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 1 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 11.0 | 13 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-23 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AWESOME FLUKE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with SIMPLE HEDGE second and TURIN MASCOT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite SIMPLE HEDGE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ILLUMINOUS | 15.8% | 6.33 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | AWESOME FLUKE | 13.9% | 7.18 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 13.3% | 7.53 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 8.6% | 11.63 | 14 |
| 5 | 3 | WOODFIRE BRO | 8.0% | 12.54 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 7.9% | 12.69 | 13 |
| 7 | 5 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 7.3% | 13.66 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | TURIN MASCOT | 5.7% | 17.51 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | PACKING HURRICANE | 5.5% | 18.25 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | WINNING DRAGON | 5.2% | 19.33 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 3.1% | 31.79 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | ACCOLADE START | 2.1% | 47.81 | 11 |
| 13 | 10 | BRAVEHEARTS | 1.9% | 52.03 | 6 |
| 14 | 13 | DEVILDOM | 1.7% | 58.98 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 87.5
PLACE
4 25.5
6 28.5
8 14.5
QUINELLA
6,8 193.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 145
4,8 71
6,8 77
FORECAST
6,8 490
TIERCE
6,8,4 3,090
TRIO
4,6,8 503
FIRST 4
2,4,6,8 2,213
QUARTET
6,8,4,2 40,770
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,10,12/4,6,8 295,882
6TH DOUBLE
6/6 390.5
6/8 40.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,5,8/6,10,12/Any Combination 48,514